Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction MLB Picks 8/11/24

Arizona Diamondbacks (64-53) vs Philadelphia Phillies (69-47)

August 11, 2024 at 04:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks +103 / Philadelphia Phillies -113 — Over/Under: 9

The Philadelphia Phillies and Arizona Diamondbacks meet Sunday in MLB game 4 action at Chase Field. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction. This article will include a Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 69-48 on the year and play the Marlins and Nationals next. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 9 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The Philadelphia Phillies have won 4 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Alec Bohm leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 133 hits and 78 RBI, while Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos have combined for 218 hits and 130 RBI.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 65-53 on the year and play the Rockies and Rays next. The Arizona Diamondbacks have scored 18 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 7 games. The Arizona Diamondbacks have won 10 of their last 12 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Ketel Marte leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 129 hits and 81 RBI, while Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and Christian Walker have combined for 215 hits and 129 RBI.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Pick Matchup

Cristopher Sanchez gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 8-7 with a 3.27 ERA and 100 strikeouts this season. Sanchez has allowed 13 hits and 7 runs in his last 11.2 innings. Sanchez has a 4.78 ERA and .302 allowed batting average in 49 road innings. Sanchez is 1-1 with a 5.19 ERA and 6 strikeouts in his career against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Merrill Kelly gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 2-0 with a 2.19 ERA and 21 strikeouts this season. Kelly has allowed 14 hits and 5 runs in his last 18 innings. Kelly will pitch for the first time since April after dealing with a shoulder injury. Kelly is 1-1 with a 2.75 ERA and 16 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will Beat the Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last six Sunday home games against NL East opponents.
The Phillies have won 10 of their last 12 day games against National League opponents following a road loss.
The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against NL East opponents following a win.
The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last four games as favorites against NL West opponents following a road loss.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents.
Jake McCarthy has scored at least one run in nine of his 10 previous home appearances against the Phillies.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last six appearances at Chase Field.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one Single in 12 of his last 13 appearances with the Diamondbacks as underdogs against NL East opponents.
Eugenio Suarez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games against NL East opponents.
Merrill Kelly has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against NL opponents.
Pavin Smith has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances at Chase Field.
Joc Pederson has hit a home run in each of the Diamondbacks’ last two games as underdogs against NL opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

Nick Castellanos has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Alec Bohm has recorded a Double in three of the Phillies’ last four games against NL opponents.
Bryce Harper has recorded an RBI in each of the Phillies’ last four games against the Diamondbacks at Chase Field.
Alec Bohm has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Phillies’ last five games as favorites.
Bryson Stott has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Phillies’ last eight day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
Kyle Schwarber has scored at least one run in eight of the Phillies’ last nine games against NL West opponents.
Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last six games against the Diamondbacks.
Kyle Schwarber ranks 10th in the league in Home Runs (27) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (880).
The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.260).
The Philadelphia Phillies are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
The Philadelphia Phillies are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.