Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies Prediction MLB Picks 8/11/24

The Atlanta Braves and the Colorado Rockies meet Sunday in MLB action from Coors Field. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Braves vs Rockies pick. We will examine:

The Atlanta Braves recent form and player performance

The Colorado Rockies recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Atlanta Braves

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Colorado Rockies

Recent betting trends in games played between the Braves and Rockies

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Braves vs Rockies game

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

This past week the Braves took on the Milwaukee Brewers. Atlanta played pretty poorly in that one, getting swept 10-0, 8-5 and 16-7. Following another loss 6-5 to the Rockies Friday, in game two the Braves won in a wild outcome 11-8.

Spencer Schwellenbach will take the starter role for the Braves on Sunday. This year Schwellenbach is 4-5 with a 4.04 ERA in the first 11 starts of his career.

Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

Over on the Rockies’ side, they played the New York Mets in their last series. Colorado won 6-3 on Tuesday but dropped the next pair 5-3 and 9-1. After their win Friday, in the Saturday matchup the Rockies posted 12 hits to the Braves 11 in an offense-heavy loss.

It’ll be Kyle Freeland in the starter slot for the Rockies on Sunday. So far this year Freeland is 3-4 with a 5.65 ERA in 12 starts. Freeland has a 58-69 record with a 4.47 ERA in 196 games (191 starts) over his career.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Braves’ last five games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Nine of the Rockies’ last 12 day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last three day games at Coors Field.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

• Jacob Stallings has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jacob Stallings has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Brendan Rodgers has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight appearances against NL East opponents at Coors Field.
• Brendan Rodgers has recorded at least one Single in 10 of his last 11 appearances at Coors Field against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Ryan McMahon has recorded at least one hit in seven of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Elias Diaz has scored a run in each of the Rockies’ last three games against the Braves.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Marcell Ozuna has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last four road games against the Rockies.
• Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances against the Rockies at Coors Field.
• Marcell Ozuna has scored at least one run in each of the Braves’ last eight games as favorites against the Rockies.
• Michael Harris has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against the Rockies.
• Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Braves as favorites against the Rockies.
• Michael Harris has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances with the Braves as favorites against the Rockies.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded a Double in each of his last three road appearances against NL West opponents.
• Marcell Ozuna ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.592) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Colorado Rockies rank 30th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.287).
• The Colorado Rockies rank 30th in the league for hits allowed this season (1185).
• The Atlanta Braves rank T2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (460).
• The Atlanta Braves rank 28th in the league for steals this season (50).

Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies Prediction

I might try the Rockies here. Freeland could use a good start, though. In his last outing Freeland posted three earned in 4.2 innings versus the Mets in a no-decision. He had one earned in 7.0 innings versus the Angels in the start prior to that, though. As for Schwellenbach, he’s got seven earned over his last 20.0 innings, going 1-1 in those three starts.

On Saturday the Rockies really couldn’t get anything going on the mound. All five pitchers allowed at least one earned run, and no one lasted more than 2.2 innings in a spotty effort. Still, I think Colorado can get a win in the finale if all goes well with Freeland.