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Oakland Athletics vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB Picks 7/14/24
Pick details
Philadelphia Phillies (62-33) vs Oakland Athletics (36-61)
July 14, 2024 at 01:35 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -265 / Oakland Athletics +215 — Over/Under: 9.5
In this article we will formulate an Oakland Athletics vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 14th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:
- The Athletics recent form and recent player performanceÂ
- The Phillies recent form and recent play performance
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving OaklandÂ
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving PhiladelphiaÂ
- Recent betting trends in games played between Oakland and PhiladelphiaÂ
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Oakland and PhiladelphiaÂ
Athletics are Looking for a Big Series WinÂ
The Oakland Athletics are 36-61 this season and they have lost four of their last six games. Oakland won the first game in this series by a score of 6-2, but they were blown out in game two. Prior to this series, the Athletics lost two out of three against the Red Sox, lost two out of three against the Orioles, and swept the Angels in three games. Oakland is 6-5 in their last 11 games and they are last in the AL West.Â
The Oakland pitching staff has a 4.48 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, and a .258 opponent batting average. The Athletics offense has scored 372 runs with a .225 batting average and a .296 on base percentage. Brent Rooker is batting .287 with 19 home runs and 57 RBI’s for the Athletics this season. Oakland has scored at least five runs in four of their last five games.Â
Phillies Continue to RollÂ
The Philadelphia Phillies are 62-33 this year and they have won four of their last five games. Philadelphia lost the first game in this series on Friday, but they won game two by a score of 11-5. Prior to this series, the Phillies swept the Dodgers in three games, lost two out of three against the Braves, and won two out of three against the Cubs. Philadelphia is 8-4 in their last 12 games and they are first in the NL East.Â
The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.26 ERA, a 1.14 WHIP, and a .226 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 474 runs with a .260 batting average and a .333 on base percentage. Bryce Harper is batting .303 with 21 home runs and 61 RBI’s for the Phillies this season. Philadelphia has scored at least five runs in three of their last five games.Â
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Oakland is Joey Estes, who is 3-4 with a 5.53 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 57.0 innings pitched this year. Estes has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts, but did allow eight earned runs in just 1.2 innings in his last start. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Orion Kerkering, who is 2-1 with a 1.30 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP over 34.2 innings pitched this season. Kerkering has allowed no earned runs in his last five appearances, but he will only throw an inning or two.Â
Why the Phillies will beat the Athletics
- The Athletics have lost each of their last 10 Sunday day games.
- The Phillies have won seven of their last eight day games against AL West opponents following a win.
- The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 Sunday day games.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 home games against AL West opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Athletics’ last six day games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Phillies’ last six games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Athletics’ last four road games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last three games between the Athletics and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Bryce Harper has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances at Citizens Bank Park against opponents that held a losing record.
- Trea Turner has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Brandon Marsh has recorded a Single in each of the Phillies’ last six Sunday games at Citizens Bank Park.
- Trea Turner has hit at least one home run in four of his last five home appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances after playing the previous day.
- Bryce Harper has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances after playing the previous day.
- Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Phillies’ last six day games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
Oakland Athletics Player Prop Facts
- Shea Langeliers has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven appearances.
- Esteury Ruiz has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Esteury Ruiz has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Ryan Noda has scored at least one run in five of his last six road appearances against NL opponents.
- Brent Rooker has hit a home run in two of the Athletics’ last three day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Esteury Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Brent Rooker has recorded at least one Single in six of the Athletics’ last seven day games.
Oakland Athletics vs Philadelphia Phillies PredictionÂ
Philadelphia comes into this game looking to avoid a bad series loss to this Oakland team, but they have had a great first half of the season and they are running away with the NL East. The Phillies are 37-15 at home this year, while the Athletics are 14-36 on the road. Oakland has played better over their last eleven games and Estes has been pretty solid in recent outings, with the exception of his last start, but I just can’t take them here. The Phillies have been outstanding this year, especially at home, so my Oakland Athletics vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction is for the Phillies to win by at least two runs.Â