New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction MLB Picks 7/14/24

Orioles Trying to End Losing Streak 

The Baltimore Orioles are 57-38 this year and they have lost five games in a row. Baltimore has lost the first two games in this series and they have scored just one run in each game. Prior to this series, the Orioles were swept by the Cubs in three games, won two out of three against the Athletics, and won two out of three against the Mariners. Baltimore is 2-7 in their last nine games, but they continue to battle with New York for first in the AL East. 

The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.69 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .230 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 468 runs with a .253 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .288 with 27 home runs and 61 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. Baltimore has allowed at least six runs in three of their last five games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for New York is Carlos Rodon, who is 9-7 with a 4.63 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 103.0 innings pitched this season. Rodon has allowed at least four earned runs in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Dean Kremer, who is 4-5 with a 4.42 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 59.0 innings pitched this year. Kremer has made two starts since late May, one was very good and one was a rough outing against the Cubs. 

Why the Orioles will beat the Yankees

• The Yankees have lost eight of their last nine games following a win.
• The Orioles have won six of their last seven day games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards following a loss.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games following a win.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in six of their last seven games as home favorites against the Yankees following a home loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Orioles' last four home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Yankees' last five day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Yankees' last five day games against American League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Orioles' last four games as favorites against American League opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in six of the Orioles' last 10 games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Adley Rutschman has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Jorge Mateo has scored a run in seven of his last eight appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
• Dean Kremer has recorded five or more strikeouts in 11 of his last 12 home appearances against AL opponents.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Single in each of the Orioles' last eight games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against opponents that held a winning record.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Dean Kremer has recorded a win in six of his last eight home appearances against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Aaron Judge has hit a home run in each of the Yankees' last three road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Gleyber Torres has scored a run in each of the Yankees' last six games as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his four previous appearances with his team as an underdog against the Orioles.
• Anthony Rizzo has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• J.D. Davis has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against AL East opponents.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.

New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup trying to finish the series sweep and end the first half of the season in first place in the AL East standings. The Yankees really have not played very well over the last few weeks, but the Orioles are also struggling. New York is 33-20 on the road, while Baltimore is 29-22 at home. The Orioles are going with Kremer, who has had mixed results since coming off of the IL. The Yankees are starting Rodon, who has not been very effective in recent outings. Baltimore is in the middle of a very bad rough patch, but I can’t back Rodon with how he has looked. My New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles prediction is for the Orioles to avoid the sweep and get the win.