Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB Picks 7/14/24

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Cincinnati Reds (46-49) vs Miami Marlins (32-62)

July 14, 2024 at 01:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds -178 / Miami Marlins +163 — Over/Under: 9

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In this article, we will formulate a Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 14th at the Great American Ballpark. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Marlins recent form and recent player performance 

-The Reds recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Miami

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cincinnati

-Recent betting trends in games played between Miami and Cincinnati. 

Marlins Pitching Failed Them

The Marlins’ offense wasn’t actually bad on Saturday, scoring six runs, but the pitching let them down, giving up ten runs. Edward Cabrera went 3.1 innings, giving up six hits and seven runs. The Marlins are averaging 3.48 runs, while their pitching is giving up 5.06 runs per game. The offense is ranked 29th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 29th. They do have a negative run differential of -1.6 which is 28th. Jazz Chisholm has hit 12 home runs and driven in 42 RBis so far this season. Getting the start for the Marlins will be Trevor Rogers, who sits with a 1-9 record and an ERA of 4.82. In his last start against the Houston Astros he went 5.1 innings giving up six hits and two runs. 

Why the Marlins Will Beat the Reds

  • The Marlins have won six of their last seven Sunday day games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • The Reds have lost four of their last five day games against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Reds have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight Sunday games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in six of their last eight games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a loss.

Reds Leaned on Offense

The Reds scored ten runs on Saturday and that was enough for the victory. Rece Hinds had a strong game, hitting two home runs and driving in three RBIs. Andrew Abbott wasn’t good enough, going 3.1 innings, giving up seven hits and five runs. The Reds are averaging 4.42 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.05 runs per game. The offense is ranked 15th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 9th in the league. Spencer Steer has hit 15 home runs and driven in 60 RBIs. Getting the start for the Reds will be Nick Lodolo who sits with an 8-3 record and an ERA of 3.30. In his last start against the Rockies he went 3.2 innings giving up five hits and four runs. 

Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

The Marlins haven’t won a lot of games this season, but this will be one that they do. Rogers hasn’t found a ton of success this year, but he is finally showing some signs of turning it around. People forget just a couple of years ago how dominant Rogers was on the mound. The Marlins aren’t going to run up the score against Lodolo, but they will score four or five runs total, and that will be enough to get the job done. Back the Marlins on the money line to cash. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Marlins ML

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