New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals Prediction 7/10/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The New York Yankees and Washington Nationals meet Friday in MLB action at Nationals Park. Here’s a New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals Prediction. This article will include a New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals Pick.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 51-42 on the year and play the Dodgers and Pirates next. The New York Yankees are batting .235 on the season and have a .316 OBP and a .420 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 3.41 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. Ben Rice leads the New York Yankees with 90 hits and 65 RBI, while Cody Bellinger and Jazz Chisholm Jr. have combined for 151 hits and 85 RBI.

Ryan Weathers gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 3-7 with a 4.29 ERA and 104 strikeouts this season. Weathers is 2-1 with a 6.20 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the Washington Nationals.

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 48-46 on the year and play the Athletics and Rockies next. The Washington Nationals are batting .251 on the season and have a .325 OBP and a .435 slugging percentage. The Washington Nationals’ pitching staff has a 4.76 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP. James Wood leads the Washington Nationals with 96 hits and 61 RBI, while CJ Abrams and Daylen Lile have combined for 183 hits and 111 RBI.

Carson Palmquist gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 0-1 with a 7.11 ERA and 7 strikeouts this season. This will be Palmquist’s first career game against the New York Yankees.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Yankees have lost each of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
• The Nationals have won four of their last five games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games at Nationals Park against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as favorites following a win.
• The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six road night games.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Nationals have lost each of their last four games following a home win.
• The Yankees have won six of their last seven games against National League opponents following a road win.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games following a home win.
• The road team has covered the run line in four of the Nationals’ last five games.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in 10 of their last 13 night games against National League opponents.
• The Yankees have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last four games between the Yankees and Nationals at Nationals Park has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Yankees’ last seven games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Nationals’ last five games as underdogs.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of Ryan Weathers’ last seven appearances as a starter.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• James Wood has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last 13 games at Nationals Park against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Luis Garcia has hit at least one home run in five of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• James Wood ranks 6th in the league in Home Runs (25) this season.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Ben Rice has hit a home run in six of his last eight appearances against NL East opponents.
• Ryan Weathers has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four road appearances.
• Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances at Nationals Park.
• Ben Rice ranks 3rd in the league in Home Runs (28) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for steals this season (100).
• The Nationals rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (132).
• The Yankees are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
• The Yankees rank 3rd in the league for home runs allowed this season (91).

New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals Prediction

I expect offense in this game as both pitchers are hittable and both lineups can produce. Weathers has a 4.29 ERA and 1.25 WHIP through 92.1 innings. In 33 innings on the road, Weathers has a 4.64 ERA and a .224 allowed batting average. Palmquist has pitched just 6.1 innings, but he’s allowed 8 hits and 5 runs. This feels like a high-scoring game given the way both pitchers have looked, short sample size or not. Give me the over.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Over