New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 6/13/25 MLB Picks

The New York Yankees and the Boston Red Sox meet Friday in MLB action from Fenway Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Yankees will send out Ryan Yarbrough for the start here, and Yarbrough is 3-1 with a 4.17 ERA and 43 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Red Sox, Yarbrough is 1-2 with an 11.45 ERA and 13 strikeouts. Garrett Crochet will start here for the Red Sox and is 6-4 with a 2.35 ERA and 110 strikeouts this season. This will be Crochet’s second career start against the Yankees.

New York Yankees Recap

The New York Yankees come into this game looking to build on their 1-0 win over the Kansas City Royals last time out to sit at 42-25 on the year. After this series, the Yankees will head home for a series against the Los Angeles Angels.

Yankees Win Three In A Row

Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 98 hits, including 25 home runs, 59 RBIs, 17 doubles, and a .392 batting average, along with 6 stolen bases. Anthony Volpe also had 20 doubles with 7 stolen bases, 8 home runs, and 38 RBIs, while Jasson Dominguez has added 10 doubles of his own. Paul Goldschmidt has 78 hits with 13 doubles and a .313 batting average, while Volpe also has 67 strikeouts so far this season. Ben Rice also has 47 hits with 11 doubles, 12 home runs, and 26 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has 9 homers with 36 RBIs, and Austin Wells has 11 home runs and 42 RBIs, with Bellinger logging 11 doubles and Wells chipping in 12 doubles. Trent Grisham also has 13 home runs and 28 RBIs so far this season.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last seven road games against American League opponents.
• The Red Sox have lost nine of their last 11 games as favorites against AL East opponents following a home win.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 games as home favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against the Red Sox following a win.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Anthony Volpe has recorded at least one Double in three of the Yankees’ last four road games against AL East opponents.
• Ryan Yarbrough has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances.
• Aaron Judge has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last 14 games as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Yankees against AL opponents.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last nine road appearances.
• Ryan Yarbrough has recorded a win in each of his last three road appearances.
• Oswaldo Cabrera has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Aaron Judge ranks 1st in the league in Hits (98) this season.

Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox come into this game looking to build on their 4-3 win over the Tampa Bay Rays from Wednesday’s series finale to sit at 34-36 on the year. After this series, the Red Sox will head home for a series against the Seattle Mariners.

Red Sox Win 4 Of Their Last 5

Alex Bregman has 59 hits, including a team-high 17 doubles, along with 11 home runs and 35 RBIs, while Rafael Devers has added 72 hits with 18 doubles, 14 home runs and 57 RBIs this season. Trevor Story added 59 hits with 9 home runs, 34 RBIs, and 10 stolen bases, while Jarren Duran has 81 hits with 18 doubles, 7 triples, 5 home runs, 38 RBIs, and a team-high 14 stolen bases. Kristian Campbell added 50 hits with 10 doubles, 6 homers, and 21 RBIs while Wilyer Abreu has 13 home runs with 32 RBIs and 4 stolen bases, and Ceddanne Rafaela has 6 homers, 2 triples, 25 RBIs, and 10 stolen bases this season.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Yankees have lost five of their last six games against AL East opponents following a road win.
• The Red Sox have won four of their last five games.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games at Fenway Park against teams that held a losing record.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last five Friday games as favorites against the Yankees.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Abraham Toro has recorded a Double in each of his last four appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Rafael Devers has scored a run in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight home games against the Yankees.
• Wilyer Abreu has recorded an RBI in each of his last four home appearances against the Yankees.
• Alex Bregman has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last nine home games against the Yankees.
• Garrett Crochet ranks 3rd in the league for total Strikeouts (110) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last five games between the Yankees and Red Sox at Fenway Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Yankees’ last four games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction

I’m on the Yankees here. I get why Crochet is getting the love here, as he just helped the Red Sox beat the Yankees in his last start, and Yarbrough got torched. However, it’s hard to beat the same team in back-to-back starts, especially when that team is one of the better lineups in baseball, like the Yankees. I think New York exacts some revenge here, so give me the Yankees.