Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Mets Prediction 6/13/25 MLB Picks

The Tampa Bay Rays and New York Mets meet Friday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Mets Prediction. This article will include a Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Mets Pick.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 36-32 on the year and play the Orioles, Tigers, and Royals next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .245 on the season, have a .311 OBP, and a .389 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays pitching staff has a 3.54 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 65 hits and 39 RBI, while Jonathan Aranda and Junior Caminero have combined for 126 hits and 77 RBI. 

Taj Bradley gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 4-5 with a 4.58 ERA and 66 strikeouts this season. This will be Bradley’s second career game against the New York Mets.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 45-24 on the year and play the Braves, Phillies, and Braves next. The New York Mets are batting .248 on the season, have a .332 OBP, and a .427 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 2.80 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Pete Alonso leads the New York Mets with 77 hits and 63 RBI, while Francisco Lindor and Juan Soto have combined for 137 hits and 73 RBI.

Clay Holmes gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 7-3 with a 2.95 ERA and 65 strikeouts this season. Holmes is 1-0 with a 0.93 ERA and 28 strikeouts in his career against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last nine games as favorites.
• The Rays have lost each of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games after playing the previous day.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against National League opponents.
• The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five road games against NL East opponents.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won four of their last five games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Mets have lost four of their last five games against the Rays following a win.
• The Rays have covered the run line each of their last six road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in four of the Mets’ last five home games against the Rays.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Mets’ last six home games.
• Juan Soto has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a favorite against the Rays.
• Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Mets as favorites.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded a Double in four of the Mets’ last five games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
• Clay Holmes ranks T6th in the league for Wins (7) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Josh Lowe has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Rays’ last five road games against NL East opponents.
• Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded a Double in three of his four previous appearances with the Rays as underdogs against the Mets.
• Jonathan Aranda ranks 9th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.314) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Mets Prediction

The Rays continue to be a valuable team as they’re winning games and don’t get crazy prices most nights. I still like the Mets here. Bradley has been shaky lately, allowing 14 hits and nine earned runs in his last 18 innings. Bradley has a 4.61 ERA on the road with 14 walks to go with 27 strikeouts. The Mets remain one of the best teams in baseball, and Holmes looks like an all-star with a 2.95 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Holmes has allowed three or fewer earned runs in nine of his last 10 starts. I’m riding with the Mets, and I’ll lay the RL to shave down the juice.