New York Jets vs New England Patriots Prediction 10/18/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

The New York Jets and the New England Patriots meet Sunday in NFL action from Gillette Stadium in Foxborough. Here’s a Jets vs Patriots prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Jets vs Patriots pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

New York Jets Betting Preview

The Jets got off to a good start this year, taking out the Tennessee Titans 23-10 in their opener on the road. New York would fall to the Green Bay Packers in overtime 20-17 during week two however. Following that were two more losses in the same division versus the Detroit Lions and the Chicago Bears. The Jets had a 1-3 record in their first four outings.

In the Browns game last weekend the Jets managed to put up a touchdown in the first quarter but stayed silent on the scoreboard until the fourth. New York added a field goal and another TD in that frame on the way to a 17-12 win. QB Geno Smith was 17-of-30 for 182 yards and one TD. Braelon Allen rushed 24 times for 116 yards and a touchdown as well.

New England Patriots Betting Preview

Over on the Pats’ side, they’ve been on shaky ground in the early-going this year. New England started with a 13-10 loss to the Seattle Seahawks, then beat the Pittsburgh Steelers 20-3. Game three was another loss, this time 35-6 versus the Jacksonville Jaguars. Next came a 29-26 win on the road versus Buffalo for a 2-2 run across the first quartet.

Matched up against Las Vegas last weekend the Pats were able to keep it going. After three first-half touchdowns New England held a 21-7 lead by the break. The second half was even better for the Patriots, and they powered out a 45-17 win in the end. QB Drake Maye was 26-of-34 for 374 yards and four scores. Kyle Williams led the receivers with 91 yards and a TD off three grabs.

New York Jets @ New England Patriots Betting Trends: Week 6

Why the New England Patriots will win

• The Jets have lost 25 of their last 26 road games against AFC opponents on a winning streak.
• The Patriots have won each of their last 10 home games against the Jets following a win.
• The Jets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight road games following a home win.
• The Patriots have covered the spread in each of their last eight games played as favorites on the East Coast.
• The Patriots have won the first quarter in nine of their last 10 day games against AFC East opponents.
• The Jets have lost the first half in each of their last eight October games as underdogs.

Why the New York Jets will win

• The road team has won five of the Patriots’ last six Week 6 games.
• The Patriots have lost each of their last three Week 6 home games.
• The road team has covered the spread in five of the Patriots’ last six Week 6 games.
• The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five day games following a home win.
• The Patriots have lost the first quarter in three of their last four Week 6 games against AFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the last six day games between AFC East teams have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Patriots’ last six day games at Gillette Stadium following a win have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Jets’ last four games against the Patriots following a win have gone UNDER the total points line.

New England Patriots Player Prop Facts

• Hunter Henry has scored at least one touchdown in each of his four previous Week 6 home appearances.
• Drake Maye has recorded 269+ passing yards in four of the Patriots’ last five October games against AFC opponents.
• Rhamondre Stevenson has recorded 60+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last six home appearances against AFC East opponents.
• Rhamondre Stevenson has scored two or more touchdowns in three of the Patriots’ last four day games as heavy favorites (>-7.0 points).
• Hunter Henry has recorded 40+ receiving yards in each of the Patriots’ last six regular season games as home favorites.
• Rhamondre Stevenson has recorded 40+ rushing yards in each of the Patriots’ last seven games at Gillette Stadium.
• Drake Maye has recorded 21+ completions in three of the Patriots’ last four October games.
• Heading into Week 6, Drake Maye has the highest passer rating in a single game (min. 10 ATT) this season (150.9 vs Raiders, Week 5).

New York Jets Player Prop Facts

• Jeremy Ruckert has recorded 16+ receiving yards in each of the Jets’ last four games following a home win.
• Will Levis has recorded 15+ rushing yards in four of his last five appearances following a win.
• Geno Smith has recorded 206+ passing yards in each of his last five appearances against AFC East opponents.
• Garrett Wilson has recorded 79+ rushing and receiving yards in four of his last five appearances with the Jets as road underdogs.
• Tim Patrick has scored a touchdown in each of his last four road appearances on the East Coast.
• Geno Smith has recorded 20+ completions in each of his last five appearances in day games against AFC East opponents.
• Heading into Week 6, Breece Hall ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Patriots – seven different players have recorded 50+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
• Patriots – five different players have recorded 60+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
• Jets – two different players have recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
• Jets – five different players have recorded 60+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.

Jets vs Patriots Prediction

I’ll go with the Pats. New England looked good against the Raiders last weekend, eventually bagging 29 first downs, 536 total yards and 6-of-12 on third-down tries. The Patriots defense gave up just 16 first downs with 5-of-13 on third-down conversions. After a tight loss to the Seahawks and a blowout loss to Jacksonville in the first three weeks, New England is starting to look like a playoff team again with these latest two wins.

As for the Jets, they pulled off a somewhat ugly win last weekend thanks mostly to defense and 134 rush yards. New York held the Browns to just 13 first downs, 198 total yards and 4-of-16 on third-down tries but managed just 14 first downs themselves. The Jets aren’t scoring well this year so far; they’ve been at 17 points or fewer in three of the last four games (a 1-3 run).

Andrew Jett's Pick: New England Patriots -7.5