New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 5/4/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The New York Mets and the Colorado Rockies meet Monday in MLB action from Coors Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Mets did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted. Tomoyuki Sugano will start for the Rockies here and is 3-1 with a 2.84 ERA and 21 strikeouts this season. This will be Sugano’s second career start against the Mets.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to add on to their 5-1 win over the Angels from their last matchup to sit at 12-22 this season. After this series, the Mets will head on the road for a series against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Mets Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Luis Robert Jr. has 19 hits including 2 home runs and 8 RBIs while Juan Soto has 22 hits with 4 doubles, 3 home runs and 8 RBIs. Brett Baty has 20 hits with 4 doubles, a triple and 12 RBIs while Francisco Lindor has 21 hits with 2 doubles and a pair of triples as well. Marcus Semien also has 26 hits with 5 doubles, a home run and 11 RBIs as well this season. Bo Bichette also has 34 hits with 5 doubles, 2 home runs and 15 RBIs as well this season. Francisco Alvarez has also added 21 hits with 3 doubles and 4 home runs this season.

Colorado Rockies Recap

The Colorado Rockies come into this game looking to bounce back from an 11-6 loss at the hands of the Braves in their last game to sit at 14-21 this season. After this series, the Rockies will head on the road for a series against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Rockies Lose 4 In A Row

TJ Rumfield has 34 hits with 6 doubles, a triple, 4 home runs and 19 RBIs while Ezequiel Tovar has 24 hits with 8 doubles, a home run and 9 RBIs. Hunter Goodman’s added 29 hits with 7 doubles, 9 home runs and 15 RBIs and Jordan Beck has 9 RBIs as well on the year. Troy Johnston has 34 hits with 8 doubles, 2 home runs and 16 RBIs. Willi Castro also has 22 hits with 5 doubles, a home run and 11 RBIs.

New York Mets @ Colorado Rockies Betting Trends: May 4, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Tomoyuki Sugano      Record this season: 3-1      ERA: 2.84
• Home Record: 2-1
• Last 5 against Mets: 1-0

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last six games as road favorites following a win.
• The underdogs have won four of the Mets’ last five games.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites following a road win.
• The Rockies have covered the run line each of their last four games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five road night games.
• The Mets have lost the first inning in four of their last five games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: TBD

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Rockies have lost 15 of their last 16 home games against NL East opponents.
• The road team has won each of the last six games between the Mets and Rockies.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last 11 road games against NL West opponents following a win.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in five of their last six road games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Rockies’ last six games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Mets’ last nine road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last seven games between the Mets and Rockies.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last four games as road favorites.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

• Hunter Goodman has hit at least one home run in four of the Rockies’ last five Monday night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Kris Bryant has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Monday appearances against NL East teams that held a losing record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances against the Rockies.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rockies rank 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (335).
• The Rockies rank T3rd in the league for doubles this season (64).
• The Mets rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.343).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (118).

New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction

I’m leaning towards the Rockies here. I get that this series is kind of must win for New York, to continue to dig themselves out of the hole they put themselves in early on this season. However, the Rockies’ bats at Coors have come to play and Sugano’s been pitching a lot better than I thought he would early on this season. It’ll be interesting to see who the Mets throw out here, but I think the Rockies start the series right. Give me Colorado.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Colorado +125