New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 5/6/25 MLB Picks

The New York Mets and Arizona Diamondbacks meet Tuesday in MLB action at Chase Field. Here’s a New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction. This article will include a New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pick.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 23-13 on the year and play the Cubs, Pirates, and Yankees next. The New York Mets are batting .253 on the season, have a .335 OBP, and a .423 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 2.91 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Pete Alonso leads the New York Mets with 45 hits and 33 RBI, while Francisco Lindor and Juan Soto have combined for 75 hits and 36 RBI. 

David Peterson gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 2-1 with a 3.06 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season. Peterson is 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA and 16 strikeouts in his career against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 18-17 on the year and play the Dodgers, Giants, and Rockies next. The Arizona Diamondbacks are batting .247 on the season, have a .330 OBP, and a .429 slugging percentage. The Arizona Diamondbacks pitching staff has a 4.50 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Corbin Carroll leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 43 hits and 27 RBI, while Josh Naylor and Geraldo Perdomo have combined for 76 hits and 50 RBI.

Zac Gallen gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 2-4 with a 4.93 ERA and 43 strikeouts this season. Gallen is 1-2 with a 3.41 ERA and 40 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The Mets have lost 10 of their last 11 road games following a win.
• The Diamondbacks have won each of their last three games against the Mets following a loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games following a win.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 night games against the Mets at Chase Field following a home loss.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six road games against NL West opponents.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last four games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
• The underdogs have won five of the Diamondbacks’ last six games at Chase Field.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games following a loss.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games at Chase Field against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Corbin Carroll has hit at least one home run in five of the Diamondbacks’ last six games at Chase Field against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded a Double in three of the Diamondbacks’ last four night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Zac Gallen has recorded a win in seven of his last eight Tuesday appearances in night games at Chase Field.
• Corbin Carroll has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Diamondbacks’ last six games at Chase Field against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Zac Gallen has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine Tuesday appearances in night games with the Diamondbacks as favorites.
• Ketel Marte has recorded a Single in each of his last six appearances at Chase Field.
• Corbin Carroll has recorded at least one hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last 12 Tuesday night games as favorites.
• Geraldo Perdomo has scored a run in each of the Diamondbacks’ last four games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• Eugenio Suarez ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (10) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in four of the Mets’ last five games against the Diamondbacks at Chase Field.
• Pete Alonso has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets’ last five road games against the Diamondbacks.
• Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last six night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last eight night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jeff McNeil has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances at Chase Field against opponents that held a winning record.
• Nick Madrigal has recorded at least one Single in each of his eight previous Tuesday night appearances against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Pete Alonso ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.469) this season.

New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

The Mets and the cheap price is appealing when you consider they’re the better team and Peterson has been solid this season in terms of a 3.06 ERA. However, Peterson has been hittable with a .276 allowed batting average, and at some point that traffic could come back to bite him. The Diamondbacks are better than what they’ve shown through 35 games, and it’s not often we get an ace like Gallen at such a price. While shaky up to this point, Gallen is better than what he’s shown, and he’s coming off six innings against the Mets, where he allowed two hits and one run. Gallen is also holding current Mets to a .215 batting average with 28 strikeouts in 107 at-bats. I’ll roll with the Diamondbacks at home and the soft price.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -112