Pick details
| MATCHUP | New York Mets | Arizona Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 15-23 | 17-20 |
| Spread | -1.5 139 | +1.5 -168 |
| Moneyline | -120 | +100 |
| Total | Over 9 (100) | Under 9 (-120) |
| Where | Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona | |
| When | Saturday, May 9, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:15 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 15-23 on the year and play the Yankees and Tigers next. The New York Mets are batting. 227 on the season, have a .290 OBP, and have a .349 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 36 hits and 16 RBI, while Francisco Alvarez and Marcus Semien have combined for 57 hits and 22 RBI.
Clay Holmes gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 4-2 with a 1.96 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season. Holmes is 1-0 with a 6.43 ERA and 6 strikeouts in his career against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 17-20 on the year and play the Rockies and Rangers next. The Arizona Diamondbacks are batting. 239 on the season, have a .300 OBP, and have a .398 slugging percentage. The Arizona Diamondbacks’ pitching staff has a 4.69 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. Ildemaro Vargas leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 42 hits and 22 RBI while Nolan Arenado and Corbin Carroll have combined for 65 hits and 38 RBI.
Merrill Kelly gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 1-3 with a 9.95 ERA and 14 strikeouts this season. Kelly is 1-5 with a 5.06 ERA and 40 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last three games as road favorites following an extra innings win.
- The Diamondbacks have won four of their last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six road games against the Diamondbacks following a road win.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Diamondbacks have lost seven of their last eight games.
- The Mets have won six of their last seven road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Mets have covered the run line in 13 of their last 14 road games against NL West opponents following a win.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mets’ last six games after playing the previous day has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Diamondbacks’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Mets’ last eight games against NL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Merrill Kelly’s last four appearances as a starter against the Mets.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Corbin Carroll has hit at least one home run in four of the Diamondbacks’ last seven games against the Mets at Chase Field.
- Merrill Kelly has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his six previous appearances against the Mets.
- Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against NL East opponents.
- Ildemaro Vargas ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.597) this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Marcus Semien has hit a home run in three of his last five road appearances against the Diamondbacks.
- Luis Robert has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Clay Holmes ranks T10th in the league for Wins (4) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (276).
- The Diamondbacks rank 27th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.300).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for RBIs this season (130).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.290).
New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
The Mets are slowly but surely starting to put some wins together and walk-off wins like last night only add to the confidence. The Diamondbacks can’t get out of their own way. Holmes has been ridiculous through 42.2 innings with a 1.69 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. Kelly has been awful with a 9.95 ERA and 2.32 WHIP through 19 innings. We’re not to the point where you can back the Mets with high confidence, but this is a spot they should win again. I’ll gladly take the Mets at this soft price.
