Nationals vs Orioles Prediction 6/26/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Nationals vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 26th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 41-41 this season after they lost three out of four against the Phillies by scores of 4-1, 9-14, 4-5, and 5-10. In game four, Washington led 5-0 in the third inning, but they allowed the last 10 runs for the disappointing loss. The Nationals recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Young, who went 1-3 with two RBIs. Cavalli allowed five hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Varland allowed five earned runs for the loss. Prior to that series, Washington lost two out of three against the Rays, but did win two out of three against the Royals before that. 

This season, Washington has a 4.75 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .259 opponent batting average, while they have scored 438 runs with a .247 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with 17 home runs and 57 RBIs, while James Wood has added 20 home runs and 49 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Andrew Alvarez, who is 1-0 with a 3.34 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 32.1 innings pitched this season. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 38-44 this year after they lost two out of three against the Angels by scores of 6-1, 1-5, and 6-7. In game three, Baltimore blew a 5-2 lead in the eighth inning and allowed two runs in the 10th for the loss. The Orioles recorded nine hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by Basallo, who went 2-5 with two home runs and four RBIs. Gibson allowed three hits and two earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Akin picked up the loss in extra innings. Prior to that series, Baltimore won two out of three against the Dodgers, but lost two out of three against the Mariners before that. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.43 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP and a .256 opponent batting average, while they have scored 382 runs with a .241 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 18 home runs and 55 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 16 home runs and 39 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Trevor Rogers, who is 4-7 with a 5.30 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 73.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won each of their last five games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards after going to extra innings.
• The Nationals have lost five of their last six road games against AL East opponents.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last four games following a road loss.
• The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in 11 of their last 14 games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against American League opponents.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Nationals have won six of their last seven games as underdogs against the Orioles.
• The Orioles have lost five of their last six games as favorites after going to extra innings.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 road games after playing the previous day.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites after going to extra innings.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Nationals’ last four games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Orioles’ last five home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Nationals’ last five night games against American League opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of the Orioles’ last seven games.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Jeremiah Jackson has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances with the Orioles against NL opponents.
• Trevor Rogers has recorded six strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
• Jeremiah Jackson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Orioles as favorites against NL opponents.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• CJ Abrams has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Nationals as road underdogs.
• Nasim Nunez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Nationals as road underdogs.
• James Wood ranks T6th in the league in Home Runs (20) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Orioles rank T6th in the league for walks this season (306).
• The Orioles rank 24th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.256).
• The Nationals rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (86).
• The Nationals rank 29th in the league for hits allowed this season (739).

Nationals vs Orioles Prediction

Washington comes into this matchup after three straight brutal losses due to their bullpen and they allowed 29 runs in those three games. The Nationals are 24-16 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 22-19 at home. Baltimore has won three of their last five games and they have scored 6+ runs in three of their last four. The Orioles are starting Rogers, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four outings, while Alvarez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. Take the over here, as I don’t really trust either starter and the Washington bullpen is in a bad place right now.

David Racey's Pick: Over 9