Nationals vs Marlins Prediction 8/22/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Nationals vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 22nd at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 61-69 this season after they lost game one by a score of 2-3 last night. Washington tied the game at two in the ninth inning, but allowed one in the bottom of the ninth for the loss. The Nationals recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Lile, who went 3-5 with one RBI. Lord allowed zero hits and zero earned runs over 2.2 innings, while Beeter picked up the loss. Prior to this series, Washington lost two out of three against the Rangers and all three against the Mets. 

This season, Washington has a 4.67 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .257 opponent batting average, while they have scored 678 runs with a .249 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with 29 home runs and 91 RBIs, while James Wood has added 30 home runs and 73 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Jake Irvin, who is 2-7 with a 5.80 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 71.1 innings pitched this season. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 65-64 this year after they won game one by a score of 3-2 on Friday night. Miami scored two runs in the eighth inning to take the lead, but they needed a run in the ninth to escape with the win. The Marlins recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Sanoja, who went 2-3 with two RBIs. Gusto allowed five hits and zero earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Fairbanks blew the save and got the win. Prior to this series, Miami lost all three against the Phillies, but did win two out of three against the Reds before that. 

This season, Miami has a 3.94 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while they have scored 563 runs with a .249 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Otto Lopez has led the Marlins with nine home runs and 55 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added 13 home runs and 52 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Eury Perez, who is 6-9 with a 3.23 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 122.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won each of their last seven home games against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have lost 11 of their last 12 road games against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 day games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Marlins have lost each of their last three games after playing the previous day.
• The road team has won three of the last four games between the Nationals and Marlins.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as home favorites against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Marlins’ last nine games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Nationals’ last eight games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in 13 of the Marlins’ last 14 games against National League opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Nationals’ last six games against National League opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Javier Sanoja has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last six games as favorites.
• Heriberto Hernandez has hit a home run in two of the Marlins’ last three games as favorites.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Abimelec Ortiz has hit a home run in each of the Nationals’ last two games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Daylen Lile has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last eight games at LoanDepot Park.

Nationals vs Marlins Prediction

Miami was able to snap their losing streak with a win on Friday night, but their bullpen nearly blew the game. The Marlins are 39-25 at home this year, while the Nationals are 34-33 on the road. Washington has lost four of their last five games and they have scored three runs or fewer in four of those five. The Nationals are starting Irvin, who has allowed 4+ earned runs in three of his last four starts, while Perez has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four outings. Take the Marlins -1.5 here.

David Racey's Pick: Marlins -1.5