Milwaukee Brewers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 4/7/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Milwaukee Brewers and Boston Red Sox meet Tuesday in MLB action at Fenway Park. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction. This article will include a Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox Pick.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 8-2 on the year and play the Blue Jays and Nationals next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting. 271 on the season, have a .376 OBP, and have a .437 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers pitching staff has a 3.44 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Christian Yelich leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 15 hits and 9 RBI, while Brice Turang and William Contreras have combined for 19 hits and 15 RBI.

Jacob Misiorowski gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 18 strikeouts this season. This will be Misiorowski’s first career game against the Boston Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 2-8 on the year and play the Cardinals and Twins next. The Boston Red Sox are batting. 231 on the season, have a .302 OBP, and have a .380 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 4.84 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP. Wilyer Abreu leads the Boston Red Sox with 16 hits and 8 RBI, while Roman Anthony and Willson Contreras have combined for 18 hits and 6 RBI.

Garrett Crochet gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 1-1 with a 3.27 ERA and 15 strikeouts this season. Crochet is 0-1 with a 2.13 ERA and 19 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Brewers have lost eight of their last nine Tuesday road games.
• The Red Sox have won three of their last four night games at Fenway Park following a loss.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games following a road win.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in three of their last four night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three night games against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have won the first inning in three of their last four games at Fenway Park against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Red Sox have lost each of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Brewers have won seven of their last eight games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a win.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games after playing the previous day.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Brewers’ last six games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Red Sox’s last six games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last four games as underdogs.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last four games as home favorites against National League opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Wilyer Abreu has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox’s last two games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Wilyer Abreu ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (15) this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Sal Frelick has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jackson Chourio has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Brewers as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Christian Yelich ranks T8th in the league in Hits (12) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Red Sox rank T26th in the league for RBIs this season (29).
• The Red Sox rank T26th in the league for steals this season (3).
• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (20).
• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for RBIs this season (58).

Milwaukee Brewers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

The Red Sox are going to get the benefit of the doubt at home with Crochet on the mound. The Red Sox are also in desperate need of a win to stop a brutal start to the season. I get it. However, the Brewers are playing the better ball overall, hitting the ball well and Misiorowski has been money through a handful of starts. An all-star last year and off to a strong start this season. The Brewers and the plus money are one of the best value bets on Tuesday’s MLB card. I’ll take it.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Milwaukee Brewers