Aug 31, 2025; New York City, New York, USA; Miami Marlins left fielder Heriberto Hernandez (64) runs out a single against the New York Mets during the sixth inning at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Gregory Fisher-Imagn Images

Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Prediction 9/1/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

Miami (65-72) vs Washington (53-83)

September 1, 2025 at 01:05 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Washington 0.0001 — Over/Under: 0.0001

(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Marlins and Washington Nationals meet Monday in MLB action from Nationals Park. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Nationals vs Marlins pick. We will examine:

The Miami Marlins’ recent form and player performance

The Washington Nationals’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Marlins

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Nationals

Recent betting trends in games played between Miami and Washington

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Marlins and Nationals game

Marlins Picking up Steam 


The Marlins are suddenly picking up steam and they are coming off back to back wins over the New York Mets. On Saturday, the Marlins were able to secure the 11-8 victory, and on Sunday, the pitching was good on the way to the 5-1 win. Agustin Ramirez had a strong game, hitting a home run and driving in two RBIs. Sandy Alcantara hasn’t had the best season, but he had one of his best starts of the year going seven innings, giving up four hits and one run. 

At the time of this article, the Marlins hadn’t announced a starting quarterback yet for this game. Whoever it is, the Marlins really need to go six or seven innings to take some of the pressure off the bullpen. After this series, the Marlins will return home to take on the Philadelphia Phillies. 

Why the Marlins Will Beat the Nationals

The Marlins have won each of their last 10 day games against the Nationals at Nationals Park following a road win.
The Nationals have lost each of their last eight day games against the Marlins following a loss.
The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine day games against the Marlins at Nationals Park following a loss.
The Marlins have covered the run line in 14 of their last 15 day games against NL East opponents following a road win.
The Marlins have led after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts

A bad season for the Nationals 


It is a bad season for the Nationals and they are coming off another loss against the Tampa Bay Rays. The Nationals scored a run in the third inning, and another three runs in the 4th, but that was the only offense they could muster. Brady House was one of the top offensive players finishing with two hits and two RBIs. Brad Lord was on the mound and to say he struggled, that might be an understatement. He went three innings giving up five hits and seven runs. He had three strikeouts and two walks. 

Getting the start for the Nationals is going to be Andrew Alvarez. With the rosters expanding, he has been called up and he’s going to make his major league debut here. Back in 2021, he was a 12th-round pick by the Nationals. He is expected to be a back-of-the-rotation starter, at best. After this series the Nationals will go to the Windy City to take on the Chicago Cubs. 

Why the Nationals Will Beat the Marlins

The Marlins have lost 21 of their last 22 Monday road games against National League opponents.
The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
The Nationals have covered the run line in four of their last five games against National League opponents following a loss.

Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals


At best, the hope is for Alvarez to be a decent back-end starter, and that does not spell good news for Washington’s chance in this game. Alvarez hasn’t even been all that impressive the last few seasons in the minor leagues and he’s going to have his issues here. The Marlins offense has shown at least some signs of life with the offense the last few weeks and the yare going to get out to a fast start here. Washington will have no answer, and Miami will come out ahead. Back the Marlins on the money line.

Shane Mickle's Pick: Marlins ML

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