Mar 11, 2026; Jupiter, Florida, USA;  Miami Marlins pitcher Janson Junk (26) pitches to by Houston Astros left fielder Taylor Trammell during the fourth inning at Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rhona Wise-Imagn Images
Rhona Wise-Imagn Images

Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 5/15/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Miami Marlins Tampa Bay Rays
Team Records 20-24 28-14
Spread -1.5 163 +1.5 -199
Moneyline +104 -125
Total Over 8 (-105) Under 8 (-114)
Where Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida
When Friday, May 15, 2026
Time 07:10 PM EDT
TV ESPN Unlmtd

In this article, we will formulate a Marlins vs Rays Prediction for this MLB matchup on Friday, May 15th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Tampa Bay Rays Preview


The Tampa Bay Rays have a 28-14 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the AL East. They have a 14-4 home record and are coming off a 3-5 loss at home against the Blue Jays. They will face the Orioles and Yankees the next.

The Rays have a .257 batting average this season, .330 OBP and .375 Slugging percentage. Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has a 3.49 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. Chandler Simpson is the team’s best hitter with a .306 batting average. Jonathan Aranda leads the team in RBI with 33, and Junior Caminero adds a team‑high 11 home runs.

Jesse Scholtens (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays, and he has a 3-2 record, 3.29 ERA and 1.17 WHIP.

Miami Marlins Preview


The Miami Marlins have a 20-24 record this season and are sitting in the fourth place of the NL East. They have a 6-12 away record and are coming off a 1-9 loss on the road against the Twins. They will face the Braves and the Mets next.

The Marlins have a .243 batting average this season, .322 OBP and .371 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 4.17 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. Otto Lopez is the team’s best hitter with a .339 batting average. Liam Hicks leads the team in RBI with 38, also adding a team‑high 9 home runs.

Janson Junk (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, and he has a 2-3 record, 3.25 ERA and 1.11 WHIP.

Marlins vs Rays Prediction


Both teams are tied 4-4 in their last 8 meetings and are 2-2 in their last 4 meetings in Tampa. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.

In this Marlins vs Rays Prediction, the Rays are coming as -125 home favorites. I have to take the Rays in this one, even though the pitching is pretty even. The Rays had the day off yesterday and have been the hottest team in baseball lately, and have been very strong at home, while the Marlins have been terrible on the road. The Rays also have a better offense and their bullpen has been elite lately, so take them to win at home in a very good price.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Tampa Bay Rays ML

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