Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 6/28/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Marlins vs Cardinals Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, June 28th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

St. Louis Cardinals Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals have a 42-38 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL Central. They have a 22-21 home record and are coming off a 1-5 home defeat against the Marlins. They will face the Braves and the Cubs next.

The Cardinals have a .247 batting average this season, .325 OBP and .396 Slugging percentage. St. Louis’ pitching staff has a 4.29 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. Jordan Walker is the team’s best hitter with a .290 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 58 adding a team-high 18 home runs.

Kyle Leahy (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals, and he has a 5-4 record, 4.24 ERA and 1.51 WHIP.

Miami Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins have a 44-39 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL East. They have a 16-22 road record and are coming off a 5-1 road win against the Cardinals. They will face the Rockies and the Athletics next.

The Marlins have a .246 batting average this season, .323 OBP and .389 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 3.99 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Otto Lopez is the team’s best hitter with a .336 batting average. Liam Hicks leads the team in RBI with 53, adding a team-high 13 home runs.

Tyler Phillips (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, and he has a 1-2 record, 3.09 ERA and 1.37 WHIP.

Miami Marlins @ St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends: June 28, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Kyle Leahy      Record this season: 5-4      ERA: 4.24
• Home Record: 2-3
• Last 5 against Marlins: 0-1

Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win

• The Marlins have lost six of their last seven day games against NL Central opponents following a road win.
• The Cardinals have won four of their last five day games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Cardinals have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 day games against NL East opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Tyler Phillips      Record this season: 1-2      ERA: 3.09
• Road Record: 0-2
• Last 5 against Cardinals: 0-0

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won each of their last four games as underdogs.
• The Cardinals have lost five of their last six games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last nine day games following a win.
• The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
• The Marlins have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Cardinals’ last seven home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Marlins’ last eight games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Cardinals’ last seven Sunday day games against National League opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Marlins’ last six games.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

• Alec Burleson has hit a home run in three of the Cardinals’ last five games against NL East opponents.
• Masyn Winn has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Cardinals as favorites.
• Ivan Herrera ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.401) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Joe Mack has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last two day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Tyler Phillips has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances.
• Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last six games.
• Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (109) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Cardinals rank 28th in the league for strikeouts this season (597).
• The Cardinals rank 4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (623).
• The Marlins rank 1st in the league for steals this season (92).
• The Marlins rank T2nd in the league for triples this season (18).

Marlins vs Cardinals Prediction

The Marlins are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings against the Cardinals and have won their last four visits in Saint Louis.

In this Marlins vs Cardinals Prediction, the Cardinals are coming as -130 home favorites. I am with the Marlins in this one as they have been one of the hottest teams in baseball lately with an 8-1 record in their last 9 games. They have been dominating the Cardinals in this series with 2-0 wins and a combined 9-1 score, they have the 5th-best bullpen in baseball and I don’t trust Kyle Leahy with his 1.50+ WHIP to turns things around for Saint Louis. Take the Marlins in this one for plus money.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Miami Marlins ML