Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB Picks 6/28/24

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Philadelphia Phillies (53-27) vs Miami Marlins (28-52)

June 28, 2024 at 06:20 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -312 / Miami Marlins +255 — Over/Under: 8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 28th at Citizens Bank Park. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Marlins form and recent player performance 

-The Phillies recent form and recent play performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Miami

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Philadelphia

-Recent betting trends in games played between Miami and Philadelphia.

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between the Marlins and Phillies. 

Marlins Pick Up Solid Win

The Marlins haven’t had a ton of wins this season, but they were able to pick up a key win on Thursday. The Marlins scored seven runs against the Philadelphia Phillies, and they ended up winning 7-4. Bryan De La Cruz had a strong game, finishing with three runs driven in. The Marlins are averaging 3.46 runs, while their pitching is giving up 5.05 runs per game. The offense is ranked 29th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 28th. They do have a negative run differential of -1.58 which is 28th in the league. Bryan De La Cruz has hit 14 home runs and driven in 36 RBis so far this season. Getting the start for the Marlins will be Kyle Tyler, who comes into this game with a 0-0 record and an ERA of 4.50. Against the Washington Nationals on April 26th he went two innings giving up one hit and one run. 

Phillies Look to Bounce Back

The Phillies have found a ton of success this season, but they really struggled on Thursday, with the pitching giving up seven runs. The Phillies are averaging 5.06 runs per game, and their pitching is giving up 3.54 runs per game. The offense is ranked second in the league, and the pitching is also ranked second in the league. Bryce Harper has also hit 20 home runs and driven in 57 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Phillies will be Cristopher Sanchez, who sits with a 5-3 record and an ERA of 2.67. In his last start against the Arizona Diamondbacks, he went seven innings, giving up three hits and zero runs. 

 Why the Phillies Will Beat the Marlins 

  • The Phillies have won each of their last 12 games as favorites against NL East opponents following a loss.
  • The Marlins have lost each of their last seven road games against National League opponents following a road win.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in 13 of their last 14 night games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 15 night games against NL East opponents following a win.
  • The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven night games against the Marlins.
  • The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last five night games against the Marlins at Citizens Bank Park.

Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Phillies are going to put on a show here, ad this game is going to get out of hand early. Sanchez has been strong this season and in his last start he gave up only three hits and zero runs in seven innings. The Phillies’ offense is elite, and they are going to have no issue getting to Tyler early. The Marlins aren’t going to have an answer here and the Phillies will win this game on the run line. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Phillies -1.5

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