Jul 18, 2025; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA;  Chicago White Sox third baseman Miguel Vargas (20) takes a throw to retire Pittsburgh Pirates shortstop Liover Peguero (not pictured) during the eighth inning at PNC Park. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-Imagn Images
Charles LeClaire-Imagn Images

Mets vs White Sox Prediction 8/23/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP New York Mets Chicago White Sox
Team Records 59-71 67-62
Spread -1.5 153 +1.5 -186
Moneyline -114 -106
Total Over 8 (-115) Under 8 (-105)
Where Rate Field, Chicago, Illinois
When Sunday, August 23, 2026
Time 02:10 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs White Sox prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 23rd at Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 59-71 this season after they split the first two games by scores of 4-6 and 10-5. In game two, New York took the lead in the third inning and never looked back in the victory. The Mets recorded 16 hits in the game and they were led by Robert Jr, who went 2-5 with two home runs and three RBIs. Scott allowed five hits and four earned runs over 4.2 innings, while Warren got the win and Nunez picked up a hold. Prior to this series, New York won two out of three against the Padres and all three against the Nationals. 

This season, New York has a 4.08 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while they have scored 545 runs with a .236 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Juan Soto (IL) has led the Mets with 21 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 14 home runs and 66 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Nolan McLean, who is 9-8 with a 3.34 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 142.2 innings pitched this season. 

Chicago White Sox Betting Preview

The Chicago White Sox are 67-62 this year after they lost game two by a score of 5-10 on Saturday. Chicago cut the deficit to 7-5 in the sixth inning, but couldn’t find anymore offense in the loss. The White Sox recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Montgomery, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Castillo allowed eight hits and four earned runs over 2.2 innings for the loss, while Richards allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Chicago lost a makeup game with the Braves and lost two out of three against the Cubs. 

This season, Chicago has a 4.11 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 616 runs with a .238 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Colson Montgomery has led the White Sox with 27 home runs and 72 RBIs, while Miguel Vargas has added 29 home runs and 74 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Sean Newcomb, who is 1-3 with a 2.44 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 70.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Chicago White Sox will win

  • The Mets have lost each of their last four games as road favorites following a road win.
  • The White Sox have won five of their last six games as home underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The White Sox have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs against National League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites following a road win.

Why the New York Mets will win

  • The favorites have won each of the last eight games between the Mets and White Sox at Rate Field.
  • The White Sox have lost five of their last six day games against NL East opponents.
  • The favorites have covered the run line in each of the last eight games between the Mets and White Sox at Rate Field.
  • The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games against NL East opponents.
  • The White Sox have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games as home underdogs against National League opponents.
  • The White Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games at Rate Field.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Mets’ last six games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the White Sox’s last three games as underdogs against the Mets have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the White Sox’s last eight Sunday day games at Rate Field.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of the Mets’ last nine games as favorites against AL Central opponents.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Randal Grichuk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Miguel Vargas has hit a home run in two of the White Sox’s last three games against opponents that held a losing record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Nolan McLean has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
  • Nolan McLean has recorded a win in five of his last six road appearances.
  • Luis Torrens has hit a home run in each of his last four road appearances with the Mets against AL opponents.
  • Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 road appearances against the White Sox.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The White Sox rank 7th in the league for runs scored this season (611).
  • The White Sox rank T7th in the league for RBIs this season (584).
  • The Mets rank 26th in the league for batting average this season (.235).
  • The Mets rank 25th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.388).

Mets vs White Sox Prediction

New York was able to get the win on Saturday in game two and they have alternated wins and losses over their last five games. The Mets are 29-36 on the road this year, while the White Sox are 38-26 at home. Chicago has also alternated wins and losses over their last five games and they have allowed 14 runs to start this series. The White Sox are starting Newcomb, who will be an opener, while McLean has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Take the Mets here.

David Racey's Pick: Mets ML

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