Mets vs Rays Prediction 9/2/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, September 2nd at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 62-77 this year after they split the first two games by scores of 3-2 and 2-6. In game two, New York led 1-0 in the first inning, but didn’t score again until the seventh for the loss. The Mets recorded three hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Lindor, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Manaea allowed 11 hits and five earned runs over 5.2 innings for the loss, while Yan allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, New York lost two out of three against the Astros and two out of three against the Brewers. 

This season, New York has a 4.09 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 567 runs with a .235 batting average and a .305 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 22 home runs and 54 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 14 home runs and 66 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Justin Hagenman, who is making his first appearance for the Mets this year. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 83-55 this season after they won game two by a score of 6-2 on Tuesday. Tampa Bay tied the game in the first inning, took the lead in the third, and pulled away in the sixth in the win. The Rays recorded 13 hits in the game and they were led by Vilade, who went 2-5 with two RBIs. Peralta allowed three hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Wells picked up a hold. Prior to this series, Tampa Bay swept the Padres in three games and won two out of three against the Tigers. 

This season, Tampa Bay has a 3.75 ERA with a 1.14 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while they have scored 624 runs with a .261 batting average and a .329 on base percentage. Jonathan Aranda has led the Rays with 17 home runs and 79 RBIs, while Junior Caminero has added 37 home runs and 88 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Shane McClanahan, who is 10-6 with a 3.19 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 113.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won each of their last eight Wednesday games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Mets have lost each of their last six games against the Rays following a road loss.
• The Rays have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Rays have led after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games at Tropicana Field against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Rays have lost each of their last four games as home favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Mets have won five of their last six games as road underdogs following a loss.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 home games following a home win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last eight games at Tropicana Field against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Rays’ last seven games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Mets’ last eight night games against AL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Shane McClanahan’s last five home appearances as a starter.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Mets’ last six games as road underdogs.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances at Tropicana Field against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Junior Caminero has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last 12 games as favorites.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in four of the Mets’ last five games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Carson Benge has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 11 games as road underdogs against AL opponents.

Mets vs Rays Prediction 

Tampa Bay was able to get back on track with a win on Tuesday and they have won four of their last five games. The Rays are 47-24 at home this year, while the Mets are 30-38 on the road. New York has alternated wins and losses over their last five games and they have allowed six runs in two of their last three. The Rays are starting McClanahan, who has allowed 3, 0, 3, 1, and 1 earned run in his last five outings, while Hagenman will be making his first appearance of the season. Take the Rays -1.5 here.

David Racey's Pick: Rays -1.5