Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 8/7/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks meet Friday in MLB action at Chase Field. Here’s a Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction. This article will include a Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pick.

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 69-46 on the year and play the Brewers and Royals next. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .262 on the season, with a .339 OBP and a .432 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers’ pitching staff has a 3.74 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. Freddie Freeman leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 131 hits and 54 RBI, while Andy Pages and Shohei Ohtani have combined for 238 hits and 144 RBI.

Roki Sasaki gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 5-5 with a 4.64 ERA and 101 strikeouts this season. Sasaki is 0-0 with a 9.00 ERA and 2 strikeouts in his career against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 61-55 on the year and play the Braves and Rockies next. The Arizona Diamondbacks are batting .243 on the season, have a .314 OBP, and have a .393 slugging percentage. The Arizona Diamondbacks’ pitching staff has a 4.21 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Ketel Marte leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 109 hits and 62 RBI, while Corbin Carroll and Geraldo Perdomo have combined for 199 hits and 94 RBI.

Merrill Kelly gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 8-9 with a 5.04 ERA and 76 strikeouts this season. Kelly is 0-11 with a 5.56 ERA and 70 strikeouts in his career against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the Dodgers and Diamondbacks.
• The Dodgers have lost each of their last six games.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites against the Diamondbacks following a loss.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against the Dodgers.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won each of their last seven road games against the Diamondbacks following a road loss.
• The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last seven Friday night home games against National League opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Friday night home games against National League opponents.
• The road team has covered the run line in each of the last three games between the Dodgers and Diamondbacks.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the Diamondbacks’ last 13 games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Three of the Dodgers’ last four road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Dodgers’ last five games as road favorites against NL West opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in four of Merrill Kelly’s last five appearances as a starter.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Tim Tawa has hit a home run in three of the Diamondbacks’ last five games against NL West opponents.
• Merrill Kelly has recorded four or more strikeouts in 41 of his last 44 appearances with the Diamondbacks as home underdogs.
• Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Merrill Kelly has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with his team as a home underdog against NL opponents.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Max Muncy has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Roki Sasaki has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Dodgers as favorites.
• Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Dodgers’ last 12 games as favorites.
• Freddie Freeman ranks 4th in the league in Hits (131) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Diamondbacks rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts against this season (844).
• The Diamondbacks rank 27th in the league for home runs this season (111).
• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (826).
• The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (1017).

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

I’m always looking for chances to fade the Dodgers and these inflated lines, but I just can’t get behind Kelly and his 5.04 ERA and 1.49 WHIP. Also, in 17 games against the Dodgers, Kelly is 0-11, and the current Dodgers are hitting .282 with a .359 on-base percentage in 177 at-bats. The Dodgers should be excited about this matchup, and it feels like a spot for them to stop the bleeding. The Dodgers aren’t going to lose forever. Of course I’ll lay the RL to shave down the price as well.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5