Jul 25, 2025; Arlington, Texas, USA; Atlanta Braves first baseman Matt Olson (28) in action during the game between the Texas Rangers and the Atlanta Braves at Globe Life Field. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-Imagn Images

Kansas City Royals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 07/30/2025 Picks

Pick details

Atlanta (45-61) vs Kansas City (53-55)

July 30, 2025 at 02:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Kansas City -125 — Over/Under: +9.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Atlanta Braves and the Kansas City Royals meet Wednesday in MLB action from Kauffman Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs. Kansas City Royals prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Atlanta Braves will start Joey Wentz here and Wentz is 2-2 with a 5.76 ERA and 42 strikeouts this season. In his career, Wentz is 1-0 with a 2.31 ERA and 9 strikeouts against Kansas City. The Kansas City Royals did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted.

Atlanta Braves Recap

The Atlanta Braves come into this game looking to rebound from a 9-6 loss at the hands of the Royals on Tuesday to sit at 45-61 on the year. After this series, the Braves will head on the road for a series against the Cincinnati Reds.

Braves Drop 8 Of Their Last 10

Austin Riley leads the Braves with 104 hits including 14 home runs, 48 RBIs and 19 doubles but also has the dubious distinction of leading Atlanta with 119 strikeouts so far this season. Ozzie Albies has 86 hits with 9 home runs and 40 RBIs in addition to 9 stolen bases and Matt Olson has 103 hits with 25 doubles, 18 home runs and 65 RBIs of his own. Marcell Ozuna also has 76 hits with 13 home runs and 42 RBIs. Michael Harris II also has 87 hits with 15 doubles, 5 triples, 9 home runs and 49 RBIs and 12 stolen bases as well and Nick Allen has 6 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The Braves have won each of their last five games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents following a road loss.
  • The Royals have lost each of their last five day games against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 home games following a home win.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 road games against AL Central opponents following a road loss.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Marcell Ozuna has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last three games against AL Central opponents.
  • Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Royals after playing the previous day.
  • Matt Olson has recorded at least one Double in four of the Braves’ last five road games against AL Central opponents.

Kansas City Royals Recap

The Kansas City Royals come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Braves from Tuesday to improve to 53-55 on the year. After this series, the Royals will head on the road for a series against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Royals Alternate Wins & Losses In 5 Straight

Bobby Witt Jr. has 119 hits with 34 doubles and 27 stolen bases along with 3 triples, 15 home runs and 58 RBIs while Vinnie Pasquantino has 106 hits with 15 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 62 RBIs. Maikel Garcia’s added 114 hits with 26 doubles, 5 triples, 10 home runs and 45 RBIs and 19 stolen bases and Salvador Perez also has 18 home runs and 62 RBIs but also has 83 strikeouts so far this season.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

  • The Braves have lost eight of their last nine day games after playing the previous day.
  • The Royals have won each of their last nine Wednesday games as favorites.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last seven Wednesday day games against National League opponents.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

  • Salvador Perez has hit a home run in four of the Royals’ last five day games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded a Double in each of the Royals’ last three games against NL opponents.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 11 home games against NL East opponents.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. ranks T5th in the league in Hits (123) this season.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Braves’ last eight road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Royals’ last seven day games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Atlanta Braves vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction

I’m leaning towards the Royals here. I just don’t love Joey Wentz in this Atlanta rotation, and think that Kansas City can get to him for a couple of runs here and far more often than not this season, the Braves have struggled on the road. The Royals have been inconsistent offensively at times this year, but they’re still playing some solid baseball as of late and I think Kansas City gets the series win with a victory on Wednesday. Give me Kansas City.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Kansas City -125

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