Jul 11, 2026; Arlington, Texas, USA; Houston Astros right fielder LaMonte Wade Jr. (31) rounds the bases after he hits a grand slam home run against the Texas Rangers during the third inning at Globe Life Field. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-Imagn Images
Jerome Miron-Imagn Images

Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction 7/12/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Houston Astros Texas Rangers
Team Records 47-50 48-47
Spread +1.5 -188 -1.5 154
Moneyline +113 -136
Total Over 8.5 (-105) Under 8.5 (-115)
Where Globe Life Field, Arlington, Texas
When Sunday, July 12, 2026
Time 02:35 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV

The Houston Astros and Texas Rangers meet Sunday in MLB action at Globe Life Field. Here’s a Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction. This article will include a Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Pick.

Houston Astros Betting Preview


The Houston Astros are 47-50 on the year and play the Orioles and Marlins next. The Houston Astros are batting. 242 on the season, have a .315 OBP, and have a .413 slugging percentage. The Houston Astros’ pitching staff has a 4.79 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. Yordan Alvarez leads the Houston Astros with 109 hits and 70 RBI, while Isaac Paredes and Christian Walker have combined for 168 hits and 105 RBI.

Cristian Javier gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 0-1 with a 10.22 ERA and 8 strikeouts this season. Javier is 7-1 with a 3.66 ERA and 80 strikeouts in his career against the Texas Rangers.

Texas Rangers Betting Preview


The Texas Rangers are 48-47 on the year and play the Braves and White Sox next. The Texas Rangers are batting .244 on the season, with a .319 OBP and a .397 slugging percentage. The Texas Rangers’ pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Josh Jung leads the Texas Rangers with 98 hits and 34 RBI, while Jake Burger and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 169 hits and 90 RBI.

MacKenzie Gore gets the ball for the Texas Rangers, and he is 5-8 with a 4.72 ERA and 111 strikeouts this season. Gore is 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 12 strikeouts in his career against the Houston Astros.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

  • The Rangers have won 11 of their last 12 home games against AL West opponents following a home loss.
  • The Astros have lost four of their last five games following a win.
  • The Astros have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five day games against AL West opponents following a win.
  • The Rangers have covered the run line in four of their last five day games against AL West opponents following a home loss.
  • The Rangers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Sunday games.
  • The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games against AL West opponents.

Why the Houston Astros will win

  • The underdogs have won seven of the last eight games between the Astros and Rangers at Globe Life Field.
  • The Rangers have lost six of their last nine games as home favorites against AL West opponents.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in nine of the last 10 games between the Astros and Rangers at Globe Life Field.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Rangers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three day games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Rangers’ last six games has gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Astros’ last six games as underdogs against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Rangers’ last 10 games as favorites against AL West opponents.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 12 of the Astros’ last 13 road games against AL West opponents.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Ezequiel Duran has hit at least one home run in each of the Rangers’ last two games as favorites.
  • Wyatt Langford has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against the Rangers after playing the previous day.
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit at least one home run in five of the Astros’ last six road games against the Rangers.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Rangers rank 25th in the league for steals this season (46).
  • The Rangers rank 23rd in the league for runs scored this season (393).
  • The Astros rank 28th in the league for steals this season (34).
  • The Astros rank 27th in the league for triples this season (7).

Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction


Javier is still working his way back into the mix, and it’s been a struggle with a 10.22 ERA and 2.27 WHIP through 12.1 innings. He’s had control issues as well, with 12 walks compared to 8 strikeouts. Not ideal, folks. Gore has been hittable this season, but he’s also averaging more than a strikeout per inning. Through 48.1 innings at home, Gore has a 3.54 ERA and a .212 allowed batting average. Most of the time Gore has been hit hard, it’s been on the road. I’ll lean toward the Rangers in this spot due to the more stable pitcher on the bump.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Texas Rangers

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