Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction 07/12/2025 Picks

The Texas Rangers are visiting the Houston Astros on Saturday, July 12^th at the Daikin Park in the second game of this series, with the Rangers having the 1-0 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Prediction. We will examine:
The Houston Astros recent form and player performance
The Texas Rangers recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Houston Astros
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Texas Rangers
Recent betting trends in games played between the Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros game

Houston Astros Preview

The Houston Astros have a 55-39 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the AL West. The Astros have a 32-18 home record and 41-50 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-7 home defeat by the Rangers, and have four consecutive losses. Over is 6-2 in their last 8 games, and they are playing the Diamondbacks and the Mariners next.

The Astros have a .260 batting average this season, .325 OBP and .411 slugging percentage. Houston’s pitching staff has a 3.62 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. Jeremy Pena leads the Astros with 102 hits and he is the team’s best hitter, with a .322 batting average. Jose Altuve leads the team in RBI with 51, while Isaac Paredes adds a team-high 19 home runs.

Framber Valdez (L) is the projected starter for the Astros, and he has a 10-4 record, 2.90 ERA and 1.15 WHIP.

Texas Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers have a 47-48 record this season and are sitting on the 4^th place of the AL West. The Rangers have a 21-29 road record and are 37-56 in over/under. They are coming off a 7-3 road victory over the Astros, and are 3-1 in their last 4 games. Over is 6-1 in their last 7 games and are playing the Athletics and the Tigers next.

The Rangers have a .233 batting average this season, .302 OBP and .374 slugging percentage. Texas’ pitching staff has a 3.30 ERA and 1.17 WHIP.  Josh Smith leads the Rangers with 83 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .282 batting average. Adolis Garcia leads the team in RBI, with 54.

Jacob deGrom (R) is the projected starter for the Rangers, and he has a 9-2 record, 2.29 ERA and 0.91 WHIP.

Why the Houston Astros will win

The Astros have won 11 of their last 12 games against AL West opponents following a loss.
The Rangers have lost each of their last 13 Saturday night games as underdogs against American League opponents.
The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 night games against AL West opponents following a road win.
The Astros have covered the run line in four of their last five home games against AL West opponents.
The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Saturday night games against the Rangers at Daikin Park.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

The underdogs have won each of the Astros’ last eight games.
The Astros have lost each of their last five games as favorites.
The Astros have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Astros’ last eight games.
The Rangers have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Saturday road games.
The Rangers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
The Rangers have won the first inning in six of their last seven games.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Rangers’ last six games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Six of the Astros’ last seven games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last seven games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the last 10 games between the Rangers and Astros at Daikin Park.

Matchup/League Facts

The Astros rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (901).
The Astros rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.260).
The Rangers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.30).
The Rangers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (340).

Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Prediction

The Rangers are 6-4 in their last 10 meetings against the Astros, and have won their last three visits in Houston. Under is 7-3 in their last 10 meetings.
In this Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Prediction, the Astros are coming as -125 home favorites. Houston is rightfully favored, as they have a better overall record, and have been very strong at home, while Texas is struggling on the road. Both pitchers have been excellent this season, with a combined 3.19 ERA, and both teams also have top-4 bullpens. deGrom’s previous start against the Astros this season was a shutout, and the Rangers are weaker against lefties, so I don’t see much offense in this game. Take the under 6.5 in this one.