Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins Prediction 08/04/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Houston Astros and Miami Marlins meet Monday in MLB action at loanDepot park. Here’s a Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins Prediction. This article will include a Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins Pick.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 62-50 on the year and play the Yankees, Red Sox, and Orioles next. The Houston Astros are batting .257 on the season, have a .321 OBP, and a .403 slugging percentage. The Houston Astros pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. Jose Altuve leads the Houston Astros with 116 hits and 57 RBI, while Jeremy Pena and Christian Walker have combined for 201 hits and 98 RBI. 

Jason Alexander gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 1-1 with a 7.36 ERA and 20 strikeouts this season. This will be Alexander’s first career game against the Miami Marlins.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 55-55 on the year and play the Braves, Guardians, and Red Sox next. The Miami Marlins are batting .252 on the season, have a .316 OBP, and a .396 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins pitching staff has a 4.37 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Miami Marlins with 112 hits and 29 RBI while Kyle Stowers and Otto Lopez have combined for 193 hits and 126 RBI.

Sandy Alcantara gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 6-9 with a 6.36 ERA and 81 strikeouts this season. This will be Alcantara’s first career game against the Houston Astros.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won each of their last five games.
• The Astros have lost each of their last six Monday night games against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last eight games following a win.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against the Marlins following a loss.
• The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as road underdogs.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Astros have won each of their last six games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have lost each of their last six Monday games as home favorites.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Monday games as home favorites.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Astros have led after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against the Marlins.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in two of the Marlins’ last three games against AL opponents.
• Sandy Alcantara has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with the Marlins as favorites against AL opponents.
• Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in seven of his last eight appearances in night games.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Christian Walker has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last 10 road games against NL opponents.
• Chas McCormick has hit a home run in each of the Astros’ last two games against the Marlins at LoanDepot Park.
• Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances with the Astros as underdogs against NL opponents.

Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins Prediction

The Astros have lost six of their last eight games, and now they’re throwing out Alexander, who has allowed 33 hits and 21 earned runs in his last 25.2 innings. Not great. The Marlins are the hottest team in baseball, as they were 16 games below a .500 record in June and are now even after sweeping the Yankees. Alcantara is also finding his footing, allowing seven hits and zero earned runs in his last 12 innings. There’s a buzz around this Marlins team that I’m not stepping in front of. Give me the fish to stay hot.