Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 4/7/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Houston Astros and the Colorado Rockies meet Tuesday in MLB action from Coors Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Houston Astros will send out Mike Burrows for the start here and Burrows is 1-1 with a 5.91 ERA and 12 strikeouts this season. This will be Burrows’ second career start against the Rockies. Kyle Freeland will start for Colorado here and is 0-1 with a 2.89 ERA and 8 strikeouts this season. In his career, Freeland is 0-2 with a 4.44 ERA and 16 strikeouts against Houston.

Houston Astros Recap

The Houston Astros come into this game looking to bounce back from a 9-7 loss at the hands of Colorado in Monday’s series opener to drop to 6-5 this season. After this series, the Astros will head on the road for a series against the Seattle Mariners.

Astros Drop Back-To-Back Games

Going into Monday’s game, Yordan Alvarez has 12 hits with 3 doubles, 4 home runs and 10 RBIs while Christian Walker has 12 hits with 6 doubles, 2 home runs and 11 RBIs on the year. Jose Altuve’s chipped in 11 hits with 2 doubles, 2 home runs and 5 RBIs and Carlos Correa has 10 hits with a double, a home run and 8 RBIs. Cam Smith also has 9 hits with 2 home runs and 5 RBIs.

Colorado Rockies Recap

The Colorado Rockies come into this game looking to add on to their win over Houston on Monday to improve to 4-6 this season. After this series, the Rockies will head on the road for a series against the San Diego Padres.

Rockies Pick Up Back-To-Back Ws

Going into Monday, TJ Rumfield has 10 hits with a double, 2 home runs and five RBIs while Ezequiel Tovar has 10 hits with 2 doubles, a home run and 5 RBIs. Hunter Goodman’s added 9 hits with a double, a home run and two RBIs and Jordan Beck has 4 RBIs as well on the year. Troy Johnston has 7 hits with a home run and 3 RBIs.

Houston Astros @ Colorado Rockies Betting Trends: April 7, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Kyle Freeland      Record this season: 0-1      ERA: 2.89
• Home Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Astros: 0-2

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Astros’ last five games.
• The Astros have lost each of their last three games as favorites.
• The Rockies have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three games as favorites.
• The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Mike Burrows      Record this season: 1-1      ERA: 5.91
• Road Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Rockies: 0-0

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Rockies have lost 10 of their last 11 games following a win.
• The Astros have won six of their last seven road games against NL West opponents.
• The Astros have covered the run line in six of their last seven road games against NL West opponents.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven home games following a win.
• The Astros have led after 5 innings in seven of their last nine night games against National League opponents.
• The Rockies have lost the first inning in four of their last five home games.
• The Astros have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Astros’ last nine games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Rockies’ last 10 games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Rockies’ last eight home games against AL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last four games at Coors Field.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Freeland has recorded four or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Tyler Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Kris Bryant has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances against the Astros.
• Jake McCarthy ranks T2nd in the league in Steals (4) this season.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Christian Walker has hit at least one home run in five of his last six road appearances after playing the previous day.
• Jose Altuve has recorded two or more hits in each of his last eight appearances against the Rockies after playing the previous day.
• Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.900) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rockies rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.265).
• The Rockies rank 30th in the league for walks this season (18).
• The Astros rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (70).
• The Astros rank 1st in the league for hits this season (98).

Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction

I’m on the over in this one. I just don’t trust the pitching matchup with Mike Burrows being the true wild card of this Astros rotation, while Kyle Freeland’s had issues at times at Coors Field in his career despite being a Colorado kid, and the AStros historically have hit lefties well. Give me the over once again here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Over 10.5