Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox Prediction MLB Picks 6/20/24

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Chicago White Sox (20-54) vs Houston Astros (33-40)

June 20, 2024 at 02:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Chicago White Sox +153 / Houston Astros -182 — Over/Under: 9

(Get latest betting odds)

The Houston Astros and the Chicago White Sox meet Sunday in MLB action from Chase Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Houston Astros will send out Spencer Arrighetti for the start here and Arrighetti is 3-6 with a 6.37 ERA and 63 strikeouts this season. This will be Arrighetti’s first career start against the White Sox. The Chicago White Sox will start Chris Flexen here and Flexen is 2-6 with a 5.35 ERA and 51 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Houston, Flexen is 1-3 with a 2.70 ERA and 14 strikeouts.

Houston Astros Recap

The Houston Astros come into this one looking to win the rubber match of the series after ending up with a 4-1 win in Wednesday’s matchup, evening the set up at one win apiece. The win put Houston in a spot to potentially string together back-to-back series wins after taking down the Tigers in a three-game set last weekend.

Astros Still Dealing With Inconsistency

Jose Altuve has 89 hits and a .297 batting average with 11 home runs, 29 RBIs and 14 doubles while Kyle Tucker has a team-high 19 homers with 11 doubles and 40 RBIs. Yordan Alvarez also has 14 homers with 37 RBIs and 16 doubles while Tucker has the Astros’ team lead with 10 stolen bases so far this season. Jeremy Pena also has 78 hits and a .278 batting average as well as 10 stolen bases of his own this season.

Why the Houston Astros will win

  • The White Sox have lost each of their last nine day games following a loss.
  • The Astros have won each of their last eight Thursday day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents following a home loss.
  • The favorites have covered the run line in 12 of the White Sox’s last 14 games at Guaranteed Rate Field.
  • The Astros have led after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against the White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field.

Chicago White Sox Recap

The Chicago White Sox come into this one looking to rebound and win the series after their loss against the Astros on Wednesday. The loss meant that the White Sox were at risk of yet another series loss after dropping series against the Diamondbacks and Mariners over the last week and a half.

White Sox Trying To Find Their Groove Offensively

Gavin Sheets has a .228 batting average and a .333 OBP along with a team-high 14 doubles and 28 RBIs while Andrew Vaughn also has 9 homers and 33 RBIs and Andrew Benintendi has 5 home runs and 19 RBIs with Vaughn logging 13 doubles as well as a team-high 62 hits. Paul DeJong also has a team-high 14 home runs and 29 RBIs with a team-high 78 strikeouts as well this season.

Why the Chicago White Sox will win

  • The Astros have lost nine of their last 10 games as favorites against American League opponents following a win.
  • The White Sox have won each of their last three games as underdogs following a loss.
  • The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games following a win.
  • The White Sox have covered the run line in each of their last five games following a loss.
  • The White Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last six day games against AL West opponents.
  • The Astros have lost the first inning in each of their last four Thursday games as road favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.

Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox Prediction

I’m going to take a shot on the White Sox here. I just don’t feel like laying this kind of price with the Astros with Arrighetti pitching as he’s been far too disappointing for me to put up this kind of juice with him and the Astros’ offense remains inconsistent. The White Sox haven’t had many offensive explosions, but Flexen is a decent arm in that rotation and I just think the White Sox are worth a shot here. Give me Chicago and the plus money.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Chicago White Sox +153

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