Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals Prediction MLB Picks 6/20/24

Nationals Looking for Another Series Win 

The Washington Nationals are 36-37 this season and they have won four of their last five games. Washington was shut out in game one, but they won by a score of 3-1 on Wednesday. Prior to this series, the Nationals swept the Marlins in three games, won two out of three against the Tigers, and won three out of four against the Braves. Washington is 9-2 in their last 11 games and they are third in the NL East standings. 

The Washington pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .252 opponent batting average. The Nationals offense has scored 292 runs with a .234 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. Jesse Winker is batting .266 with seven home runs and 33 RBI’s for the Nationals this season. Washington has allowed one run or fewer in four of their last five games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Ryne Nelson, who is 4-5 with a 5.49 ERA and a 1.64 WHIP over 57.1 innings pitched this year. Nelson has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five outings, but did allow nine earned runs in the other two outings in that span. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is MacKenzie Gore, who is 6-5 with a 3.24 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 75.0 innings pitched this season. Gore has allowed one earned run in four of his last five starts, but allowed six earned runs against the Mets three starts ago. 

Why the Washington Nationals will win

The Nationals have won each of their last six day games against National League opponents.The Diamondbacks have lost five of their last six road games against NL East opponents following a loss.The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

The Diamondbacks have won each of their last three games as road underdogs against the Nationals.The Nationals have lost each of their last five games against the Diamondbacks following a home win.The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against NL West opponents.The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against NL East opponents.The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games at Nationals Park against NL West opponents that held a losing record.The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in four of their last six games as road underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Nationals' last four day games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.Four of the Diamondbacks' last five games as underdogs against the Nationals have gone UNDER the total runs line.The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Nationals' last three games as home favorites.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals Prediction 

Washington comes into this game looking for another series win and they have been one of the hotter teams in baseball over the last two weeks. The Nationals are 17-18 at home, while Arizona is 17-20 on the road. Arizona’s offense has been very hot recently, and they will need to generate plenty of offense in this game. The Diamondbacks are starting Ryne Nelson, who is below average and can give up quite a few runs in a hurry. Washington is going with Gore, who has been very good over the last few weeks, but faces a dangerous Arizona lineup. I think both teams will have their offenses going and my Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals prediction is for this game to go over the total.