Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox Prediction MLB Picks 6/18/24

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Chicago White Sox (19-54) vs Houston Astros (33-39)

June 18, 2024 at 08:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Chicago White Sox +175 / Houston Astros -210 — Over/Under: 8.5

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In this article we will formulate a Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 18th at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

  • The Astros recent form and recent player performance 
  • The White Sox recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Houston
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Chicago
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Houston and Chicago
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Houston and Chicago

Astros Trying to Keep Momentum 

The Houston Astros are 33-39 this season and they have won three of their last five games. Houston is coming off of a series win against Detroit, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Astros lost two out of three against the Giants, won two out of three against the Angels, and won two out of three against the Cardinals. Houston is 7-5 in their last 12 games and they are third in the AL West, nine games behind Seattle. 

The Houston pitching staff has a 4.20 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Astros offense has scored 319 runs with a .258 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Jose Altuve is batting .299 with 11 home runs and 29 RBI’s for the Astros this season. Houston has scored at least four runs in six of their last nine games. 

White Sox Still Searching for Answers

The Chicago White Sox are 19-54 this year and they have lost six of their last eight games. Chicago is coming off of a series loss against Arizona, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the White Sox lost three out of four against the Mariners, split four games with the Red Sox, and lost both games against the Cubs. Chicago is 4-20 in their last 24 games and they are dead last in the AL Central. 

The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.92 ERA, a 1.42 WHIP, and a .251 opponent batting average. The White Sox offense has scored 229 runs with a .220 batting average and a .281 on base percentage. Paul DeJong is batting .240 with 14 home runs and 29 RBI’s for the White Sox this season. Chicago has allowed five runs or more in eight of their last 14 games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Framber Valdez, who is 5-4 with a 3.99 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 67.2 innings pitched this year. Valdez has allowed one earned run in two of his last three starts, but did allow five earned runs and eight hits against the Giants last time out. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Jonathan Cannon, who is 0-1 with a 4.56 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 23.2 innings pitched this season. Cannon has allowed at least four earned runs in two of his last three starts, but only allowed one earned run against Seattle in his last start. 

Why the Houston Astros will win

The Astros have won eight of their last nine night games against teams that held a losing record.The White Sox have lost each of their last eight games as home underdogs following a loss.The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as home underdogs following a loss.The Astros have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against teams that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

Eight of the Astros’ last nine road games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.Each of the last three games between the Astros and White Sox have gone UNDER the total runs line.The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the White Sox’s last six games as underdogs against American League opponents.The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last five road games.

Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox Prediction 

Chicago comes into this game with only 19 wins on the season, but 12 of those victories have come at home. The White Sox have been terrible with their pitching and hitting, but will try to take advantage of an underachieving Houston team. The Astros are just 14-20 on the road this season, but they do have some recent momentum. Houston is starting Valdez, who has been inconsistent recently. I know Valdez has had some issues over the last month, but this White Sox team is really bad. My Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox prediction is for the Astros to win by at least two runs. 

David Racey's Pick: Astros -1.5

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