Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 9/13/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Houston Astros and Atlanta Braves meet Saturday in MLB action at Truist Park. Here’s a Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves Prediction. This article will include a Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves Pick.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 80-68 on the year and play the Rangers, Mariners, and Athletics next. The Houston Astros are batting .252 on the season, have a .318 OBP, and a .400 slugging percentage. The Houston Astros pitching staff has a 3.84 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Jose Altuve leads the Houston Astros with 145 hits and 70 RBI, while Jeremy Pena and Christian Walker have combined for 266 hits and 132 RBI.

Hunter Brown gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 11-7 with a 2.25 ERA and 190 strikeouts this season. Brown is 0-1 with a 5.06 ERA and 10 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 65-82 on the year and play the Nationals, Tigers, and Nationals next. The Atlanta Braves are batting .242 on the season, have a .316 OBP, and a .391 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves pitching staff has a 4.46 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Matt Olson leads the Atlanta Braves with 151 hits and 81 RBI while Ozzie Albies and Michael Harris II have combined for 268 hits and 144 RBI.

Bryce Elder gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 7-9 with a 5.35 ERA and 111 strikeouts this season. This will be Elder’s second career game against the Houston Astros.

Houston Astros @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: September 13, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Bryce Elder      Record this season: 7-9      ERA: 5.35
• Home Record: 3-4
• Last 5 against Astros: 0-0

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The underdogs have won each of the last five games between the Astros and Braves at Truist Park.
• The Astros have lost three of their last four games as favorites.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Saturday games as favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in six of the Astros’ last seven games.
• The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as road favorites.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Hunter Brown      Record this season: 11-7      ERA: 2.25
• Road Record: 6-2
• Last 5 against Braves: 0-1

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Astros have won nine of their last 10 road games against National League opponents.
• The Braves have lost eight of their last nine games against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last six games at Truist Park.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The Astros have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Braves’ last nine night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Astros’ last eight games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last five games as favorites.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last five games as underdogs against American League opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Jarred Kelenic has recorded at least one hit in 22 of his last 23 home appearances against AL opponents.
• Jurickson Profar has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last two games as underdogs against AL opponents.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Yainer Diaz has hit a home run in each of the Astros’ last three games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances with the Astros as road favorites against NL opponents.

Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

The Astros haven’t won back-to-back games in a while, but the Braves are having issues winning games at all. I doubt Elder improves those odds with his 5.35 ERA and 1.41 WHIP. In 65.2 home innings, Elder has a 6.44 ERA and .302 allowed batting average. Brown remains a top-10 pitcher in baseball with his 2.25 ERA and 1.10 WHIP, and he’s allowed 32 hits and 7 earned runs in his last 33.2 innings. Just elite stuff from Brown. The Astros should take advantage of spots like this as they hope to win the AL West. Give me the Astros.