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Giants vs Marlins Prediction 5/30/25 MLB Picks

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Miami Marlins (22-32) vs San Francisco Giants (31-25)

May 30, 2025 at 07:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Marlins +150 / San Francisco Giants -180 — Over/Under: 8.5

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In this article, we will formulate a Giants vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 30th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

The San Francisco Giants are 31-25 this season after they lost all three games against the Tigers by scores of 1-3, 1-3, and 3-4. In their game three loss, San Francisco scored the first three runs in the game, but they went scoreless in the final four innings for the loss. The Giants recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Ramos, who went 3-5 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. SF started Roupp, who allowed five hits and one earned run over 4.0 innings, while Rodriguez, Rogers, and Walker combined for 4.0 scoreless innings. 

Prior to that series, the Giants won two out of three against the Nationals, but lost two out of three against the Royals before that. San Francisco has lost four of their last five games, and they are currently third in the NL West standings. The San Francisco pitching staff has a 3.22 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 242 runs with a .231 batting average and a .309 on-base percentage this season. Wilmer Flores has led San Francisco with 10 home runs and 45 RBIs, while Matt Chapman has added nine home runs and 25 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Kyle Harrison, who is 0-1 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 9.1 innings pitched this season. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 22-32 this year after they lost two out of three against San Diego by scores of 3-4, 6-8, and 10-8. In their game three win, Miami trailed 6-1 in the fourth inning, but they scored nine of the last eleven runs in the game for the win. The Marlins recorded 13 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Ramirez, who went 4-5 with one home run and four RBIs in the win. Miami started Alcantara, who allowed seven hits and six earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Henriquez picked up the win and Faucher got the save. 

Prior to that series, the Marlins won two out of three against the Angels, but lost two out of three against the Cubs before that. Miami has won three of its last five games, and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 5.29 ERA with a 1.46 WHIP and a .262 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 229 runs with a .251 batting average and a .315 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 10 home runs and 32 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added seven home runs and 17 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Cal Quantrill, who is 3-4 with a 6.09 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP over 44.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Marlins will beat the Giants 

  • The Giants have lost three of their last four games as favorites.
  • The Marlins have won eight of their last 12 games as home underdogs against National League opponents following a road win.
  • The Giants have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as road favorites.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in four of their last five games.
  • The Giants have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as favorites.
  • The Giants have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as road favorites against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Giants’ last six road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Thirteen of the Marlins’ last 16 games as underdogs against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight games between the Giants and Marlins at LoanDepot Park.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Giants’ last four games at LoanDepot Park.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in two of the Marlins’ last three games against NL West opponents.
  • Jesus Sanchez has recorded an RBI in four of the Marlins’ last five games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
  • Jesus Sanchez has scored at least one run in four of the Marlins’ last five games.
  • Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Marlins’ last five night games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Cal Quantrill has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four home appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Jesus Sanchez has recorded two or more hits in each of the Marlins’ last four night games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

  • Heliot Ramos has hit a home run in four of the Giants’ last nine games as road favorites against NL opponents.
  • Matt Chapman has recorded a Double in four of his last five road appearances against the Marlins.
  • Willy Adames has recorded an RBI in four of the Giants’ last five games as road favorites against NL opponents.
  • Matt Chapman has scored a run in each of his last four appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Jung Hoo Lee has recorded at least one Single in 13 of his 14 previous road appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Wilmer Flores has recorded at least one hit in 11 of his last 12 appearances against NL opponents.

Giants vs Marlins Prediction 

San Francisco comes into this series after a tough sweep against the Tigers, and they will look to turn things around, but they are just 14-16 on the road this year. Miami is 13-15 at home, but they have won three of their last five games overall. The Marlins are starting Quantrill, who has allowed one earned run in three of his last four starts. The Giants are starting Harrison, who has been mostly used out of the bullpen, but did allow two earned runs and five hits over four innings in his last start. I don’t love how the San Francisco offense is hitting right now, and Quantrill has been better, so give me the Marlins at home. 

David Racey's Pick: Marlins ML

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