Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction 4/29/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Diamondbacks vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, April 29th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 15-13 this year after they lost two out of three against the Braves by scores of 2-8, 7-8, and 6-4. In their game three win, Arizona nearly blew an early 3-0 lead, but they added two insurance runs in the seventh to seal the win. The Diamondbacks recorded nine hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Perdomo and Naylor, who both had two RBIs in the win. Arizona started Pfaadt, who allowed nine hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings in the win, while Martinez allowed one run in the ninth, but still got the save. 

Prior to that series, the Diamondbacks lost two out of three against the Rays and two out of three against the Cubs. Arizona has lost four of its last five games, and they are currently fourth in the NL West standings. The Arizona pitching staff has a 4.38 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 150 runs with a .245 batting average and a .335 on-base percentage this year. Eugenio Suarez has led Arizona with 10 home runs and 20 RBIs, while Corbin Carroll has added nine home runs and 23 RBIs this season. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Eduardo Rodriguez, who is 1-2 with a 4.40 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 28.2 innings pitched this year. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 20-9 this season after they split four games with Washington by scores of 4-5, 2-0, 7-8, and 19-5. In their game four win, the Mets scored the first 15 runs in the game, and they were able to cruise to the easy win. New York recorded 21 hits in the game, and they were led by Nimmo, who went 4-6 with two home runs and nine RBIs in the win. New York started Canning, who allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings in the win, while Urena allowed seven hits and five earned runs in the final three innings for the save. 

Prior to that series, the Mets won all three against the Phillies and all four against the Cardinals. New York has won nine of their last eleven games, and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 2.52 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .224 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 137 runs with a .246 batting average and a .322 on-base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with six home runs and 27 RBIs, while Brandon Nimmo has added six home runs and 21 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is David Peterson, who is 1-1 with a 3.29 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 27.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Mets will beat the Diamondbacks 

• The Mets have won each of their last eight home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Diamondbacks have lost 11 of their last 12 games at Citi Field against teams that held a winning record.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in four of their last five home games.
• The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games against National League opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six night games at Citi Field against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last seven home games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Diamondbacks’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last six games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Mets’ last six games against NL West opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Lindor has hit at least one home run in three of the Mets’ last four games as home favorites against NL opponents.
• Pete Alonso has recorded a Double in five of the Mets’ last six games against the Diamondbacks at Citi Field.
• Pete Alonso has recorded at least one RBI in nine of the Mets’ last 10 games against the Diamondbacks.
• Pete Alonso has scored at least one run in eight of the Mets’ last nine home games against the Diamondbacks.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last nine games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Nick Madrigal has recorded at least one Single in each of his eight previous Tuesday night appearances against NL teams that held a winning record.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Ketel Marte has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven road appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Eugenio Suarez has scored at least one run in each of the Diamondbacks’ last five games.
• Corbin Carroll has hit at least one home run in five of the Diamondbacks’ last six games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Geraldo Perdomo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 road appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against NL opponents.
• Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded five or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine road appearances against NL East opponents.

Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction 

New York comes into this series after scoring 21 runs in their win against Washington on Monday afternoon, and they have been red hot over the last two weeks. The Mets are 12-1 at home this year, while the Diamondbacks are 7-5 on the road. Arizona has had some issues over the last week, especially with their pitching, and they will start Rodriguez, who has allowed four earned runs in two of his last four starts. New York is going with Peterson, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his first five starts. I don’t trust this Arizona pitching staff against this New York lineup, so I will take the Mets -1.5 here.