Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 4/29/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Nationals vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, April 29, at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals (13-16, 4-9 Away) spent the previous two series at home, where they beat the Orioles in two of three games and split a four-game series with the Mets. However, the Nationals were dismantled by the Mets 19-5 last night, the highest amount of runs they allowed this season. Alex Call led the offense with two RBI, while Trevor Williams took the loss after allowing five runs on five hits with five strikeouts and two walks in 5.1 innings.

This year, the Nationals average 4.21 runs per game (17th in the MLB) on a .238/.304/.384 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Nationals’ staff has a 4.61 ERA (26th) and 1.37 WHIP (24th). James Wood leads the Nationals with a .257 batting average, nine home runs, and 20 RBI this season.

Mackenzie Gore will take the mound for the Nationals on Tuesday. The 26-year-old left-hander has a 2-3 record in six starts this year with a 3.34 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 35.0 innings.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies (15-13, 9-4 Home) went through their worst period of the season, during which they suffered five consecutive defeats, including being swept by the Mets in three games. The Phillies bounced back with a pair of victories over the Cubs on the road and now will spend the next two series at home. In the latest 3-1 extra-innings win in Chicago, Alec Bohm hit a sacrifice fly in the 10th to give his team the win, while Trea Turner led the offense with two RBI. Aaron Nola pitched for 7.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing one run on three hits with six strikeouts and one walk. Jose Alvarado was credited with the win.

This season, the Phillies average 4.43 runs per game (13th in the MLB) on a .249/.338/.375 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Phillies’ staff has a 4.11 ERA (17th) and 1.31 WHIP (19th). Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with a .242 batting average, seven home runs, and 18 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Phillies is Zack Wheeler, who is 2-1 in six starts this season, with a 3.62 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 37.1 innings.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Phillies’ last eight home games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Nationals’ last five road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Nationals’ last 10 games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last four games against National League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Phillies rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (272).
• The Phillies rank T27th in the league for home runs this season (22).
• The Nationals rank 26th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.262).
• The Nationals rank 26th in the league for hits allowed this season (255).

Nationals vs Phillies Prediction

The Phillies won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including two of three they played this season. Interestingly, the last time Gore and Wheeler were in a pitching matchup, the teams combined for just one run across six innings, but the bullpens gave up nine, and that game went Over. Although I expect the starters to post quality starts again, I don’t think the bullpens will crumble again. Both Gore and Wheeler have four quality starts in six games this season, and I think we will have an excellent pitching duel on Tuesday, with not many runs scored. Go with Under.