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Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres Prediction 9/11/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

Colorado (40-106) vs San Diego (79-67)

September 11, 2025 at 09:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: San Diego -1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Colorado Rockies and San Diego Padres meet Thursday in MLB action at George M. Steinbrenner Field. Here’s a Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres Prediction. This article will include a Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres Pick.

Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

The Colorado Rockies are 40-106 on the year and play the Marlins, Angels, and Mariners next. The Colorado Rockies are batting .239 on the season, have a .296 OBP, and a .390 slugging percentage. The Colorado Rockies pitching staff has a 6.01 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP. Hunter Goodman leads the Colorado Rockies with 135 hits and 87 RBI, while Jordan Beck and Brenton Doyle have combined for 239 hits and 105 RBI.

McCade Brown gets the ball for the Colorado Rockies, and he is 0-3 with a 12.54 ERA and 6 strikeouts this season. This will be Brown’s second career game against the San Diego Padres.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 79-67 on the year and play the Mets, White Sox, and Brewers next. The San Diego Padres are batting .251 on the season, have a .321 OBP, and a .386 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres pitching staff has a 3.65 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Luis Arraez leads the San Diego Padres with 159 hits and 54 RBI while Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis Jr. have combined for 298 hits and 147 RBI.

Randy Vasquez gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 4-6 with a 3.91 ERA and 62 strikeouts this season. Vasquez is 2-1 with a 5.40 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his career against the Colorado Rockies.

Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres Betting Trends: September 11, 2025

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Randy Vasquez      Record this season: 4-6      ERA: 3.91
  • Home Record: 1-2
  • Last 5 against Rockies: 2-1

Why the San Diego Padres will win

  • The Rockies have lost each of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
  • The Padres have won seven of their last eight home games against NL West opponents following a home loss.
  • The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Rockies’ last five games.
  • The Padres have led after 3 innings in six of their last eight games against the Rockies.
  • The Padres have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games against NL West opponents.
  • Probable Starting Pitcher: McCade Brown      Record this season: 0-3      ERA: 12.54
  • Road Record: 0-1
  • Last 5 against Padres: 0-1

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

  • The Padres have lost five of their last six games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Rockies have won each of their last four Thursday games as underdogs against the Padres.
  • The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games.
  • The road team has covered the run line in eight of the Padres’ last nine games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Padres’ last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Rockies’ last eight games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last six night games against NL West opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last four night games against NL West opponents.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

  • Manny Machado has recorded a Double in five of the Padres’ last six games against the Rockies at Petco Park.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in two of the Padres’ last three games against the Rockies at Petco Park.
  • Jose Iglesias has recorded two or more hits in four of his last five home appearances against the Rockies.
  • Manny Machado ranks T10th in the league in Hits (155) this season.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

  • Brenton Doyle has hit a home run in three of his last 10 road appearances with the Rockies against NL opponents.
  • Thairo Estrada has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Padres at Petco Park.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Padres rank 29th in the league for home runs this season (128).
  • The Padres rank 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (565).
  • The Rockies rank 30th in the league for walks this season (366).
  • The Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (6.01).

Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres Prediction

Another Rockies game, another chance to fade one of the worst teams in baseball history. Brown doesn’t make anything better with his 12.54 ERA and 2.36 WHIP. There’s nothing much left to say. The Padres have been shaky over the last couple of weeks, but this is a series they need to take advantage of to pad in the standings. Vasquez is holding current Rockies to a .231 allowed batting average and 12 strikeouts in 65 at bats. You should continue to blindly fade the Rockies. Give me the Padres and the RL for max betting value.

Randy Chambers's Pick: San Diego Padres

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