Cleveland Guardians vs Miami Marlins Prediction 7/11/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Cleveland Guardians and the Miami Marlins meet Saturday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Cleveland Guardians will send out Tanner Bibee for the start and Bibee is 2-9 with a 4.06 ERA and 84 strikeouts this season. Eury Perez will start for Miami and is 5-6 with a 3.84 ERA and 89 strikeouts this season. 

Cleveland Guardians Recap

The Cleveland Guardians come into this game looking to add on to their 3-2 win over Miami on Friday to sit at 49-46 this season. After this series, the Guardians will head home for a series against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Guardians Win Back-To-Back Games

Going into Friday, Chase DeLauter has 80 hits with 16 doubles, 9 home runs and 43 RBIs while Steven Kwan has 63 hits with 9 doubles, a home run and 14 RBIs and Jose Ramirez has 64 hits with 18 doubles, 10 home runs and 33 RBIs this season. Brayan Rocchio has also added 83 hits with 14 doubles, 7 home runs and 42 RBIs this season while Angel Martinez has 54 hits with 11 doubles, 11 homers and 33 RBIs and Rhys Hoskins has added 38 hits with 13 doubles, 9 home runs and 31 RBIs. Daniel Schneemann has 50 hits with 10 doubles, 6 home runs and 28 RBIs this season. 

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of Cleveland on Saturday to sit at 52-43 this season. After this series, the Marlins will head on the road for a series against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Marlins Have 6-Game Win Streak Snapped

Entering Friday, Xavier Edwards has 103 hits with 13 doubles, 6 triples, 6 home runs and 36 RBIs while Otto Lopez has 127 hits with 26 doubles, 6 triples, 9 homers and 45 RBIs and Liam Hicks has added 83 hits with 9 doubles, 13 home runs and 57 RBIs. Connor Norby has 41 hits with 12 doubles, 4 home runs and 16 RBIs and Owen Caissie has 52 hits with 12 doubles, 12 homers and 50 RBIs. Jakob Marsee also has 63 hits with 11 doubles, 3 triples, 5 home runs and 25 RBIs this season. 

Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins Betting Trends: July 11, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Eury Perez      Record this season: 5-6      ERA: 3.84
• Home Record: 3-2
• Last 5 against Guardians: 1-0

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won eight of their last nine games against American League opponents.
• The Guardians have lost each of their last four day games following a road win.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last 11 day games against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games following a win.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games against American League opponents.
• The Marlins have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Tanner Bibee       Record this season: 2-9      ERA: 4.06
• Road Record: 1-4
• Last 5 against Marlins: 1-0

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

• The underdogs have won four of the Marlins’ last five games.
• The Marlins have lost three of their last four games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in eight of the Marlins’ last nine games.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against AL Central opponents.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against AL Central opponents.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Guardians’ last eight road games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Twelve of the Marlins’ last 15 home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Marlins’ last nine home games against American League opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Guardians’ last seven road games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Heriberto Hernandez has hit a home run in four of the Marlins’ last five games as home favorites.
• Eury Perez has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Eury Perez has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last eight home games.
• Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (127) this season.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Chase DeLauter has hit a home run in each of the Guardians’ last two games.
• Chase DeLauter has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 18 appearances.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Marlins rank 1st in the league for triples this season (24).
• The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (100).
• The Guardians rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.368).
• The Guardians rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (376).

Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins Prediction

I’m on the Marlins here. I get the case to be made for Cleveland off of the win on Friday, and Tanner Bibee for me is an ace calibre starter in Cleveland’s rotation, but the results haven’t been there for Bibee this season as the Guardians haven’t backed him up in a lot of spots and Eury Perez on the other side has been far stronger at home this season. Perez is also coming off of a strong start in his last outing and the Marlins haven’t stayed down for long when they’ve been knocked down in the last month over this hot streak. Give me Miami.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Miami -115