Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals Prediction 8/9/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Reds vs Nationals Prediction for this MLB matchup on Saturday, August 9th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Washington Nationals Preview

The Washington Nationals have a 58-61 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL East. They have a 25-34 home record and are coming off an 8-2 home win against the Reds. They will face the Cubs and the Mets next.

The Washington Nationals have a .250 batting average this season, .327 OBP and .439 Slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has a 4.74 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. CJ Abrams is the team’s best hitter with a .288 batting average, leading the team in RBI with 89, while James Wood adds a team-high 30 home runs.

Brad Lord (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals, and he has a 5-2 record, 3.81 ERA and 1.20 WHIP.

Cincinnati Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds have a 56-60 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL Central. They have a 27-29 away record and are coming off a 2-8 road loss against the Nationals. They will face the White Sox and the Marlins next.

The Cincinnati Reds have a .229 batting average this season, .310 OBP and .399 Slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 4.45 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz is the team’s best hitter with a .274 batting average. Sal Stewart leads the team in RBI with 87, adding a team-high 25 home runs.

Brady Singer (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds, and he has a 5-10 record, 4.67 ERA and 1.43 WHIP.

Cincinnati Reds @ Washington Nationals Betting Trends: August 9, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Brad Lord       Record this season: 5-2      ERA: 3.81
• Home Record: 2-2
• Last 5 against Reds: 1-0

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The home team has won each of the Reds’ last six games.
• The Reds have lost each of their last nine Sunday games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line each of their last nine Sunday games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games against the Reds.
• The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as road favorites.
• The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last four home games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Brady Singer      Record this season: 5-10      ERA: 4.67
• Road Record: 2-5
• Last 5 against Nationals: 0-2

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Reds have won seven of their last eight games following a loss.
• The Nationals have lost each of their last four day games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Reds have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games following a loss.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Reds have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Reds’ last seven games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Nationals’ last eight day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the last seven day games between the Reds and Nationals.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Reds’ last six games against NL East opponents.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Daylen Lile has hit at least one home run in three of the Nationals’ last five games against the Reds.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (40) this season.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Sal Stewart has hit a home run in five of the Reds’ last six day games.
• Brady Singer has recorded a win in each of his last six Sunday appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Brady Singer has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last seven road appearances.
• Noelvi Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances against NL East opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (636).
• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (170).
• The Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (886).
• The Reds rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.229).

Reds vs Nationals Prediction

The Nationals are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against the Reds and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Washington.

In this Reds vs Nationals Prediction, both teams are coming at a pickem price. I like the over in this game, as Singer has been bad for the Reds, having given up 3+ runs in each of his last three starts and sitting on an atrocious 5.89 road ERA. The Nats are going for a bullpen game and they have the fourth-worst bullpen ERA in baseball, while both teams have been efficient offensively lately, scoring 11.2 runs per game combined against right-handed pitching in their last 5 games. Take the over 9.5 runs.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 9.5