Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction MLB Picks 6/29/24

The Cincinnati Reds and the St. Louis Cardinals meet Saturday in MLB action from Busch Stadium. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction. This will be the third installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

The Cincinnati Reds recent form and player performance

The St. Louis Cardinals recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cincinnati Reds

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the St. Louis Cardinals

Recent betting trends in games played between the Reds and Cardinals

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Reds vs Cardinals game

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

In their early-week series, the Reds took on the Pittsburgh Pirates. Cincinnati won Monday’s matchup 11-5 but lost the other pair 9-5 and 6-1. On Friday versus the Cardinals, the Reds ended up losing 1-0. Frankie Montas put up 6.0 innings in the start with one earned run.

As the starting pitcher for Saturday’s game the Reds will send out Carson Spiers. This year Spiers is 1-1 with a 3.45 ERA in seven games (two starts). Spiers has a career record of 1-2 with a 4.47 ERA in 11 games (four starts) total.

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

Over on the Cardinals’ side, they played the Atlanta Braves this week. St. Louis lost Wednesday’s game 6-2 but otherwise took wins 4-3 and 4-1 for a series victory. On Friday the Cardinals had just four hits in the win. Starter Andre Pallante lasted 5.1 clean innings with four hits and three walks.

It’ll be Sonny Gray in the starter slot for the Cardinals on Saturday. This year so far Gray is 9-4 with a 2.81 ERA in 14 starts. Gray is 107-89 with a 3.44 ERA over 293 career games (284 starts). The Cardinals will meet the Pirates and Nationals after this series.

Reds vs Cardinals Pick Injury Notes

Reds RF Jake Fraley underwent an MRI on his right calf Thursday.

Cardinals RF Lars Nootbaar (oblique) began a rehab assignment Friday.

Total Runs Facts

• Twelve of the Cardinals’ last 13 day games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Reds’ last six day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

• Nolan Arenado has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against the Reds at Busch Stadium.
• Brendan Donovan has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Cardinals’ last eight games as favorites against NL opponents.
• Sonny Gray has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances at Busch Stadium.
• Willson Contreras has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances with the Cardinals as home favorites.
• Willson Contreras has recorded a Single in seven of his last eight appearances with the Cardinals as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Sonny Gray has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL Central opponents.
• Brendan Donovan has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cardinals’ last 15 games at Busch Stadium against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Brandon Crawford has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Lars Nootbaar has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last four home appearances against NL opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Steer has hit a home run in two of the Reds’ last three games as underdogs.
• Jonathan India has recorded at least one Double in each of the Reds’ last five games against NL opponents.
• Elly De La Cruz has scored at least one run in each of the Reds’ last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jonathan India has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Reds’ last eight day games.
• Jonathan India has recorded two or more hits in each of the Reds’ last seven games.
• Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The St. Louis Cardinals rank 22nd in the league for home runs this season (78).
• The St. Louis Cardinals rank T21st in the league for doubles this season (121).
• The Cincinnati Reds rank T6th in the league for triples this season (15).
• The Cincinnati Reds rank 25th in the league for batting average this season (.229).

Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

I’ll stick with the Cardinals. Gray is pitching well right now. Over his last three starts Gray is 2-0 with just four earned in 21.2 total innings. As for Spiers, he’s got seven earned over his last 12.0 innings in two starts.

On Friday the Cardinals got a great effort from the pitching staff, holding the Reds to just four hits. Gray should be able to keep that trend going Saturday, but the bats need to come along for the ride.

Andrew Jett's Pick: St. Louis Cardinals -169