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Washington Nationals vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction MLB Picks 6/29/24
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Tampa Bay Rays (40-41) vs Washington Nationals (38-42)
June 29, 2024 at 04:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Rays -127 / Washington Nationals +107 — Over/Under: 7.5
The Washington Nationals and Tampa Bay Rays meet Saturday in MLB game 2 action at Tropicana Field. Here’s a Washington Nationals vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction. This article will include a Washington Nationals vs Tampa Bay Rays Pick.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 38-43 on the year after games against the Rockies and Padres. The Washington Nationals have scored 13 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 games. The Washington Nationals have lost 4 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. CJ Abrams leads the Washington Nationals with 82 hits and 40 RBI, while Luis Garcia Jr. and Jesse Winker have combined for 131 hits and 71 RBI.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays look to get above a .500 record after games against the Pirates and Mariners. The Tampa Bay Rays have scored 16 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 10 games. The Tampa Bay Rays have split their last 8 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 90 hits and 40 RBI, while Isaac Paredes and Amed Rosario have combined for 141 hits and 66 RBI.
Washington Nationals vs Tampa Bay Rays Pitching Pick Matchup
Jake Irvin gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 5-6 with a 3.13 ERA and 81 strikeouts this season. Irvin has allowed 26 hits and 8 runs in his last 29 innings. Irvin has a 2.44 ERA and .193 allowed batting average in 59 road innings. This will be Irvin’s first career game against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Aaron Civale gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 2-5 with a 5.20 ERA and 82 strikeouts this season. Civale has allowed 22 hits and 10 runs in his last 19.1 innings. Civale has a 4.40 ERA and .244 allowed batting average in 43 home innings. This will be Civale’s first career game against the Washington Nationals.
Why the Washington Nationals will Beat the Rays
- The Rays have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against the Nationals following a home win.
- The road team has won three of the last four games between the Nationals and Rays.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games at Tropicana Field following a home win.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in eight of their last nine day games against American League opponents following a road loss.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Jose Siri has hit at least one home run in each of the Rays’ last two games as home favorites against NL opponents.
- Yandy Diaz has recorded a Double in three of the Rays’ last four day games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Rays’ last four day games.
- Randy Arozarena has scored a run in eight of his nine previous appearances with the Rays as favorites against the Nationals.
- Yandy Diaz has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight appearances against NL East opponents at Tropicana Field.
- Aaron Civale has recorded five or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances at Tropicana Field.
- Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of the Rays’ last seven games against NL opponents at Tropicana Field.
- Randy Arozarena has recorded a hit in each of the Rays’ last seven games against NL East opponents.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Lane Thomas has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Nationals’ last three day games.
- Lane Thomas has scored at least one run in eight of the Nationals’ last nine day games.
- Lane Thomas has recorded a Single in five of the Nationals’ last six games against AL opponents.
- Eddie Rosario has recorded at least one total base in each of the Nationals’ last seven games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Eddie Rosario has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last seven games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Joey Gallo has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL East opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Tampa Bay Rays rank 5th in the league for steals this season (81).
- The Tampa Bay Rays rank 5th in the league for strikeouts this season (718).
- The Washington Nationals rank T27th in the league for triples this season (8).
- The Washington Nationals rank 27th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.365).
Washington Nationals vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
The Tampa Bay Rays are going to get the benefit of the doubt because they’re supposed to be the better team at home. However, the Rays have been hit or miss all season, so excuse me if I’m not trusting them to string wins together. Also, Aaron Civale hasn’t been great this season, and it’s fair to say Jake Irvin has been the better pitcher. The Washington Nationals have also provided value in these spots all year, as they’re hovering around a .500 record and have been kind in the underdog role. Give me the Nats and the slight plus money.