Cincinnati Reds vs Minnesota Twins Prediction MLB Picks 9/13/24

The Cincinnati Reds and the Minnesota Twins meet Friday in MLB action from Target Field. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs Minnesota Twins prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Reds vs Twins pick. We will examine:

The Cincinnati Reds’ recent form and player performance

The Minnesota Twins’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cincinnati Reds

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Minnesota Twins

Recent betting trends in games played between the Reds and Twins

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Reds vs Twins game

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Reds are coming off a three-game series versus the St. Louis Cardinals. Cincinnati won the first game 3-0, then on Wednesday, the Reds took a tough loss 2-1. In the finale, Cincinnati posted another loss 6-1. Jakob Junis put up 5.0 innings in the start with one earned on three hits.

In the starter slot for Friday, the Reds are going with Julian Aguiar. So far over his first five starts, Aguiar is 1-0 with a 5.06 ERA.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

Over on the Minnesota side, they played the Los Angeles Angels in their last series. Minnesota split the first pair 6-2 (loss) and 10-5 (win). In the rubber match the Twins bagged a 6-4 victory on 11 team hits. Zebby Matthews started with 3.1 innings and two earned runs.

Bailey Ober will start for the Twins on Friday. So far Ober is 12-6 with a 3.77 ERA in 27 starts. In 84 career starts, Ober is 25-18 with a 3.68 ERA.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Reds’ last six road games has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Twins’ last five games as favorites against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last six road games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last three games between the Reds and Twins.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Carlos Santana has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Reds.
• Bailey Ober has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances at Target Field against opponents that held a losing record.
• Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games.
• Carlos Correa has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances against NL opponents.
• Ryan Jeffers has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Twins as favorites against the Reds.
• Byron Buxton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last three home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Carlos Correa has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances in night games.
• Bailey Ober has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Willi Castro has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 home appearances against NL Central opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Jeimer Candelario has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances against AL opponents.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven road appearances against AL Central opponents.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven road appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Will Benson has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Reds against AL opponents.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Reds’ last six games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• Elly De La Cruz has scored at least one run in seven of the Reds’ last eight games against AL opponents.

Cincinnati Reds vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

I’m going to go with the Twins. The line’s probably too thick to mess with, though. Ober had an awful outing back on August 26 versus the Braves, coughing up nine earned on seven hits and two walks in 2.0 innings during a loss. In his two starts since then, however, Ober has just one earned over 13.0 combined innings on two hits and three walks.

On Wednesday the Twins had a pretty spotty game—especially on the mound. Minnesota’s pitchers gave up 10 hits but most of the damage on the scoreboard was pretty minimal. I like the Twins to start well on Friday.