Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 9/11/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Reds vs Brewers Prediction for this MLB matchup on Friday, September 11th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Milwaukee Brewers Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers have a 91-56 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 50-25 home record and are coming off an 8-6 home win against the Cubs. They will face the Pirates and the Orioles next.

The Milwaukee Brewers have a .257 batting average this season, .339 OBP and .400 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.54 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Jackson Chourio is the team’s best hitter with a .290 batting average. Brice Turang leads the team in RBI with 86, while Jake Bauers adds a team-high 24 home runs.

Dustin May (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 6-9 record, 4.69 ERA and 1.32 WHIP.

Cincinnati Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds have a 69-77 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL Central. They have a 33-39 away record and are coming off a 1-14 road loss against the Dodgers. They will face the Dodgers and the Cubs next.

The Cincinnati Reds have a .230 batting average this season, .308 OBP and .397 Slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 4.73 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz is the team’s best hitter with a .283 batting average. Sal Stewart leads the team in RBI with 107, adding a team-high 31 home runs.

Andrew Abbott (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds, and he has a 6-10 record, 4.43 ERA and 1.42 WHIP.

Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: September 11, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Dustin May      Record this season: 6-9      ERA: 4.69
• Home Record: 4-5
• Last 5 against Reds: 0-0

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won each of their last six home games against NL Central opponents.
• The Reds have lost four of their last five road games.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in five of their last six night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games at American Family Field.
• The Brewers have won the first inning in nine of their last 10 home games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five road games against NL Central opponents.
• The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine road games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Andrew Abbott      Record this season: 6-10      ERA: 4.43
• Road Record: 3-5
• Last 5 against Brewers: 1-1

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Reds have won each of their last six night games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in 20 of their last 24 games as favorites against the Reds following a win.
• The Reds have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against the Brewers.
• The Reds have won the first inning in three of their last four games against the Brewers.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Reds’ last eight games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the last five games between the Reds and Brewers at American Family Field have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last eight night games at American Family Field.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Reds’ last seven games against NL Central opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Jackson Chourio has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last four home games against NL Central opponents.
• Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 11 home games against the Reds.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last five games.
• Andrew Abbott has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Sal Stewart has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 24 games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Sal Stewart ranks T10th in the league in Home Runs (31) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Brewers rank T1st in the league for hits this season (1280).
• The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (137).
• The Reds rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.308).
• The Reds rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1396).

Reds vs Brewers Prediction

The Reds are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Brewers but have lost two of their last three visits in Milwaukee.

In this Reds vs Brewers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -190 home favorites. I don’t like the pitching in this matchup as both starters have a combined 9.22 ERA and both have been shaky at best lately. Both bullpens have also been in terrible shape, with a combined 12.29 ERA in their last 5 games and both teams are a combined 11-5-1 to the over in their last 17 games combined and 3-1 in their last 4 meetings. This total is too low, so take the over 7.5 runs in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 7.5