Pick details
| MATCHUP | Cincinnati Reds | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 39-45 | 52-31 |
| Spread | +1.5 -155 | -1.5 128 |
| Moneyline | +139 | -168 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-114) | Under 8.5 (-105) |
| Where | American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin | |
| When | Wednesday, July 1, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN | |
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 39-45 on the year and play the Orioles and Phillies next. The Cincinnati Reds are batting. 227 on the season, have a .309 OBP, and have a .389 slugging percentage. The Cincinnati Reds’ pitching staff has a 4.62 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP. Sal Stewart leads the Cincinnati Reds with 82 hits and 59 RBI, while Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer have combined for 137 hits and 74 RBI.
Andrew Abbott gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 5-4 with a 3.90 ERA and 70 strikeouts this season. Abbott is 3-4 with a 3.74 ERA and 44 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 52-31 on the year and play the Diamondbacks and Cardinals next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting. 255 on the season, have a .338 OBP, and have a .397 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers’ pitching staff has a 3.38 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 90 hits and 50 RBI, while Brice Turang and Jake Bauers have combined for 147 hits and 98 RBI.
Shane Drohan gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 3-2 with a 3.12 ERA and 52 strikeouts this season. This will be Drohan’s second career game against the Cincinnati Reds.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Reds have lost each of their last 10 road games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The Brewers have won each of their last seven night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Brewers have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against National League opponents following a home win.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against the Reds at American Family Field following a home win.
- The Reds have covered the run line in 11 of their last 13 games as underdogs against the Brewers following a road loss.
- The Reds have won the first inning in three of their last four road games.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games at American Family Field against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Four of the last five games between the Reds and Brewers at American Family Field have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Reds’ last five games as underdogs against the Brewers have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the last 10 games between the Reds and Brewers.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in four of the Reds’ last five games.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 14 games as favorites against the Reds.
- Jake Bauers has hit a home run in two of the Brewers’ last three games against the Reds.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Sal Stewart has hit a home run in two of his three previous road appearances against the Brewers.
- Andrew Abbott has recorded six strikeouts in each of his last three appearances with the Reds as road underdogs.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Reds as underdogs against the Brewers.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.38).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (820).
- The Reds rank 28th in the league for triples this season (6).
- The Reds rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (377).
Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
We’ve seen some high scoring from these teams this week, but this feels like an under spot. Abbott is coming off a strong June, where he allowed 24 hits and 11 earned runs in 27.1 innings. On the road through 48.1 innings, Abbott has a 3.17 ERA and a .238 allowed batting average. Drohan has a 3.12 ERA and 1.23 WHIP on the season, and he’s allowed 25 hits and 10 runs in his last 24.2 innings. At home through 33 frames, Drohan has a 3.00 ERA and a .227 allowed batting average. This could be a bit of a pitcher’s duel. Give me the under on Wednesday night.
