Jun 24, 2026; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Chicago White Sox shortstop Colson Montgomery (12) throws to first base to force an out against the Cleveland Guardians during the fourth inning at Rate Field. Mandatory Credit: Patrick Gorski-Imagn Images
Patrick Gorski-Imagn Images

White Sox vs Orioles Prediction 7/1/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Chicago White Sox Baltimore Orioles
Team Records 45-39 39-48
Where Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland
When Wednesday, July 1, 2026
Time 12:35 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV

In this article we will formulate a White Sox vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 1st at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Chicago White Sox Betting Preview

The Chicago White Sox are 45-39 this season after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 8-2 and 9-3. In game two, Chicago scored nine runs in the first four innings and they cruised to the lopsided win. The White Sox recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Gonzalez, who went 3-5 with three RBIs. Fedde allowed five hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Schweitzer picked up the 12 out save. Prior to this series, Chicago won two out of three against the Royals and two out of three against the Guardians. 

This season, Chicago has a 4.21 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 409 runs with a .243 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Colson Montgomery has led the White Sox with 21 home runs and 49 RBIs, while Miguel Vargas has added 19 home runs and 52 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Noah Schultz, who is 2-4 with a 5.82 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 38.2 innings pitched this season. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 39-48 this year after they lost game two by a score of 3-9 on Tuesday night. Baltimore tied the game at one in the first inning, but they only managed two runs over the last eight innings in the loss. The Orioles recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Beavers, who went 1-4 with one RBI. Gibson allowed seven hits and eight earned runs over 2.2 innings for the loss, while Walker allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Baltimore lost two out of three against the Nationals and two out of three against the Angels. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.43 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP and a .256 opponent batting average, while they have scored 397 runs with a .238 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 19 home runs and 59 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 16 home runs and 39 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is TBD. 

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

  • The White Sox have lost 14 of their last 15 day games following a road win.
  • The Orioles have won 11 of their last 13 day games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in four of their last five day games against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three day games against AL East opponents.
  • The White Sox have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four day games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against AL East opponents.

Why the Chicago White Sox will win

  • The Orioles have lost each of their last six home games after playing the previous day.
  • The road team has won each of the Orioles’ last four games.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 home games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The White Sox have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against teams that held a losing record.
  • The White Sox have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games against the Orioles.

Total Runs Facts

  • Four of the White Sox’s last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Orioles’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of the Orioles’ last nine games against American League opponents.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 12 of the White Sox’s last 15 day games.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Pete Alonso has hit a home run in two of the Orioles’ last three day games.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last seven games against the White Sox.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Colson Montgomery has hit at least one home run in three of the White Sox’s last four road games against AL East opponents.
  • Randal Grichuk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

White Sox vs Orioles Prediction

Chicago comes into this matchup looking to complete the series sweep and they are leading the AL Central by two games. The White Sox are 17-25 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 23-23 at home. Baltimore has lost four in a row and they have allowed 23 runs in their last three games. The Orioles have not named a starter, while Schultz has allowed 3+ earned runs in four straight starts and is coming off of the IL. Take the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over

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