Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction 09/30/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Reds vs Dodgers Prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 30th at the Dodger Stadium in the Game 1 of this NL Wild Card series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Los Angeles Dodgers Preview

The Los Angeles finished the regular season with a 93-69 record and were placed first in the NL West. The Dodgers have a 52-29 home record and 74-79 in over/under. They are coming off a 6-1 road victory over the Mariners, and have five consecutive wins. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 games.

The Dodgers have a .253 batting average this season, .327 OBP and .441 slugging percentage. LA’s pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA and 1.26 WHIP.  Sohei Ohtani leads the Dodgers with 172 hits, in RBI, with 102 and in home runs, with 55. Freddie Freeman is the team’s best hitter with a .295 batting average.

Blake Snell (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers, and he has a 5-4 record, 2.35 ERA and 1.24 WHIP.

Cincinnati Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds finished the regular season with an 83-79 record and were place third place in the NL Central. The Reds have a 38-43 road record and are 59-93 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-4 road defeat by the Brewers, that ended their three-game winning streak. Under is 8-2-2 in their last 12 games.

The Reds have a .245 batting average this season, .315 OBP and .391 slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA and 1.22 WHIP.  Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds with 166 hits, and in RBI, with 86, adding a team-high 22 home runs. Gavin Lux is the team’s best hitter with a .269 batting average.

Hunter Greene (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds, and he has a 7-4 record, 2.76 ERA and 0.94 WHIP.

Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends: September 30, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Blake Snell      Record this season: 5-4      ERA: 2.35
• Home Record: 5-1
• Last 5 against Reds: 2-0

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won each of their last nine night games against the Reds at Dodger Stadium following a win.
• The Reds have lost each of their last six playoff games.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last eight playoff games after not playing the previous day.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six playoff games.
• The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last 13 home games against opponents that held a winning record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Hunter Greene      Record this season: 7-4      ERA: 2.76
• Road Record: 2-3
• Last 5 against Dodgers: 1-3

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Reds have won each of their last seven night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Dodgers have lost each of their last three games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The Reds have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in 15 of their last 18 night games against National League opponents following a road win.
• The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games against NL Central opponents.
• The Reds have led after 5 innings in three of their last four road night playoff games.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Dodgers’ last eight playoff games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Reds’ last four games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last eight games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the last five games between the Reds and Dodgers at Dodger Stadium.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Tommy Edman has recorded at least one Double in four of the Dodgers’ last five playoff games as favorites.
• Freddie Freeman has hit a home run in four of the Dodgers’ last five playoff games.
• Teoscar Hernandez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances against the Reds.
• Shohei Ohtani ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.622) this season.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Elly De La Cruz has recorded a hit in each of the Reds’ last 10 games as road underdogs.
• Will Benson has hit a home run in three of his last eight road appearances.
• Elly De La Cruz ranks 7th in the league in Steals (37) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1505).
• The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (825).
• The Reds rank 7th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.233).
• The Reds rank 7th in the league for hits allowed this season (1260).

Reds vs Dodgers Prediction

The Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings against the Reds, and have won their last four meetings in LA, including a 3-0 series sweep this season. Under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 meetings.  

In this Reds vs Dodgers Prediction, the Dodgers are coming as -200 home favorites. The Dodgers dominated the Reds in their only series in LA this season, winning by a combined score of 18-4, with all three games going under the total. Both teams have been involved in some lower-scoring games lately, going for 11-3-2 to the under in their last 16 games combined. Both pitchers have been excellent this season, and Snell has been elite at home for the Dodgers, so I expect a low-scoring affair in this series opener. Take the under 7 runs in this one.