Brewers vs Red Sox Prediction 4/6/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Brewers vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Monday, April 6th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 7-2 this season after they won two out of three against the Royals by scores of 5-2, 2-8, and 8-5. In their game three win, Milwaukee had their lead cut to 6-5 in the seventh inning, but they added two in the ninth to seal the win. The Brewers recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Sanchez and Contreras, who both had two RBIs. Harrison allowed three hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings for the win, while Megill picked up the save. 

This season, Milwaukee has a 3.38 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .225 opponent batting average, while they have scored 60 runs with a .267 batting average and a .369 on base percentage. Garrett Mitchell has led the Brewers with one home run and 11 RBIs, while Christian Yelich has added one home run and eight RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Brandon Woodruff, who is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA and a 0.80 WHIP over 5.0 innings pitched this season. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 2-7 this year after they lost two out of three against the Padres by scores of 5-2, 2-3, and 6-8. In their game three loss, Boston led 4-0 in the third inning and they were tied at six in the seventh, but they allowed one run in the eighth and one in the ninth for the loss. The Red Sox recorded nine hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Yoshida, who went 3-4 with three RBIs. Suarez allowed six hits and four earned runs over 4.0 innings in the no decision, while Uberstine was charged with the loss. 

This season, Boston has a 4.71 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while they have scored 30 runs with a .226 batting average and a .297 on base percentage. Wilyer Abreu has led the Red Sox with three home runs and seven RBIs, while Marcelo Mayer has added one home run and three RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Brayan Bello, who is 0-1 with a 9.64 ERA and a 2.36 WHIP over 4.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Brewers have lost eight of their last nine games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Red Sox have won four of their last five games as home underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as road favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in eight of the Red Sox’s last nine games at Fenway Park.
• The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Red Sox have lost nine of their last 10 games after playing the previous day.
• The Brewers have won 10 of their last 12 games against American League opponents.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games after playing the previous day.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games at Fenway Park.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Brewers have led after 5 innings in three of their last four road games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Red Sox’s last five games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Brewers’ last five games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five night games between the Brewers and Red Sox.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Brewers’ last seven road games.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Wilyer Abreu has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox’s last two games against NL Central opponents.
• Connor Wong has recorded a hit in each of his last nine home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Wilyer Abreu ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (15) this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Woodruff has recorded six or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Brandon Woodruff has recorded a win in each of his last six road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against AL opponents.
• Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances with the Brewers against AL opponents.
• Christian Yelich ranks T8th in the league in Hits (12) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Red Sox rank T26th in the league for RBIs this season (29).
• The Red Sox rank T26th in the league for steals this season (3).
• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (20).
• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for RBIs this season (58).

Brewers vs Red Sox Prediction 

Milwaukee comes into this series with a 7-2 record and their offense continues to produce, as they have scored 5+ runs in four of their last five games. The Brewers are 2-1 on the road and they are starting Woodruff, who pitched five solid innings in his first start. Boston is 1-2 at home and they have lost four of their last five games overall. The Red Sox are starting Bello, who allowed eight hits and six earned runs against the Astros in his first start. Milwaukee is rolling right now and they have the better starting pitcher, so take the Brewers to get the win here.

David Racey's Pick: Brewers ML