Brewers vs Pirates Prediction 7/12/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Brewers vs Pirates prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 12th at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 59-36 this season after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 6-7 and 2-3. In game two, Milwaukee tied the game at two in the fifth inning, but couldn’t find anymore offense for the loss. The Brewers recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Turang, who went 1-5 with two RBIs. Drohan allowed five hits and three earned runs over 6.1 innings for the loss, while Uribe threw a relief inning. Prior to this series, Milwaukee won four out of five against the Cardinals and two out of three against the Diamondbacks. 

This season, Milwaukee has a 3.36 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP and a .217 opponent batting average, while they have scored 484 runs with a .255 batting average and a .337 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with 18 home runs and 59 RBIs, while Brice Turang has added 13 home runs and 58 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Robert Gasser, who is 2-3 with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 43.1 innings pitched this season. 

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 49-47 this year after they won game two by a score of 3-2 on Saturday night. Pittsburgh blew an early 2-0 lead, but they took the lead in the sixth inning and hung on for the win. The Pirates recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Valdez, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Chandler allowed five hits and two earned runs over 4.2 innings, while Ramirez got the win and Montgomery picked up the save. Prior to this series, Pittsburgh lost two out of three against the Braves, but did win two out of three against the Nationals before that. 

This season, Pittsburgh has a 4.31 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 502 runs with a .261 batting average and a .340 on base percentage. Brandon Lowe has led the Pirates with 21 home runs and 64 RBIs, while Bryan Reynolds has added 14 home runs and 58 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Paul Skenes, who is 7-8 with a 3.58 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 103.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Pirates have won each of their last six day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Brewers have lost three of their last four games.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games against NL Central opponents.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in six of their last seven day games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against National League opponents.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won 14 of their last 16 games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Pirates have lost each of their last four games as home favorites against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last 16 games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Twelve of the Pirates’ last 13 games as favorites against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Three of the Brewers’ last four games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in four of the last five games between the Brewers and Pirates.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in four of the Brewers’ last five games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Esmerlyn Valdez has hit at least one home run in each of the Pirates’ last five home games against NL Central opponents.
• Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Pirates as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Paul Skenes has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last eight Sunday appearances in day games.
• Bryan Reynolds ranks 7th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.397) this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Jake Bauers has hit a home run in two of the Brewers’ last three road games.
• Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Pirates after playing the previous day.
• Robert Gasser has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against NL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pirates rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.261).
• The Pirates rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.340).
• The Brewers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (349).
• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (393).

Brewers vs Pirates Prediction 

Pittsburgh comes into this matchup looking for the series sweep, as they won both games of the doubleheader on Saturday. The Pirates are 26-24 at home this year, while the Brewers are 30-18 on the road. Milwaukee has lost three of their last four games, but they have scored 6+ runs in three of their last five. The Brewers are starting Gasser, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts, while Skenes has allowed 2, 7, 4, 2, and 2 earned runs in his last five outings. I am going to back Skenes at this price, but the Pirates have struggled to get wins with him on the mound.

David Racey's Pick: Pirates ML