Braves vs Phillies Prediction 5/29/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, May 29th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB doubleheader. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 25-28 this year after they lost game one in this series on Tuesday. Atlanta held the dynamic Philadelphia lineup to just two runs, but couldn’t find any offense of their own in the loss. The Braves recorded five hits in the game, and they were led by Acuna, Ozuna, and Albies, who all had one hit and one walk in the loss. Atlanta started Strider, who allowed one hit and one earned run over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Hernandez allowed two hits and one earned run in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Braves lost two out of three against the Padres and both games against the Nationals. Atlanta has lost five of their last six games, and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 216 runs with a .246 batting average and a .318 on-base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 12 home runs and 29 RBIs, while Austin Riley has added eight home runs and 28 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta in game one is AJ Smith-Shawver, who is 3-2 with a 3.67 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 41.2 innings pitched this year. The projected starter for game two is Chris Sale, who is 2-3 with a 3.36 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 61.2 innings pitched this year. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 35-19 this season after they won game one by a score of 2-0 on Tuesday night. Philadelphia scored once in the second inning, and they added an insurance run in the eighth to seal the win. The Phillies recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Kepler and Realmuto, who both had one RBI in the win. Philadelphia started Suarez, who allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Romano got the save. 

Prior to this series, the Phillies won two out of three against the Athletics and swept the Rockies in four games. Philadelphia has won 10 of its last 11 games, and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.65 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 262 runs with a .259 batting average and a .336 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 18 home runs and 40 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added eight home runs and 33 RBIs this year. The projected starter for game one is Cristopher Sanchez, who is 4-1 with a 3.17 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 54.0 innings pitched. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia in game two is Zack Wheeler, who is 6-1 with a 2.42 ERA and a 0.88 WHIP over 70.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Braves 

• The Phillies have won each of their last eight games against National League opponents.
• The Braves have lost each of their last four road games against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against National League opponents.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 night games against National League opponents.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven road games against National League opponents.
• The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against NL East opponents.

Why the Braves will beat the Phillies

• The Phillies have lost five of their last six night games against the Braves following a win.
• The road team has won six of the Phillies’ last eight games.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games against the Braves following a win.
• The Braves have covered the run line in four of their last five night games against the Phillies following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the last six games between the Braves and Phillies have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eighteen of the Braves’ last 23 games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Braves’ last nine night games at Citizens Bank Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five games between the Braves and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Max Kepler has recorded a Double in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Trea Turner has scored at least one run in 10 of the Phillies’ last 11 games at Citizens Bank Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Trea Turner has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four Wednesday games against opponents that held a losing record.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last eight Wednesday appearances at Citizens Bank Park.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one Single in each of the Phillies’ last 11 Wednesday games.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 12 games.
• Alex Verdugo has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine road appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Matt Olson has hit a home run in four of the Braves’ last six road games.
• Austin Riley has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one Single in each of the Braves’ last six games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Phillies are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.
• The Phillies are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
• The Braves rank 8th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.233).
• The Braves rank 22nd in the league for steals this season (33).

Phillies vs Braves Prediction 

Philadelphia was able to win a low-scoring game on Tuesday night to start this series, and they continue to hold a slim lead over the Mets in the NL East. The Phillies are 18-8 at home this year, while the Braves are 9-19 on the road. Atlanta has really struggled over the last week, and their offense has been very inconsistent. In game one, both starting pitchers have been very solid this year, so I think we are going to see a lower-scoring game. In game two, the starting pitchers have been even better, but I give the edge to Philadelphia, as Wheeler has been elite all season long.