Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction 8/1/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Boston Red Sox and the Los Angeles Dodgers meet Saturday in MLB action from Dodger Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Boston Red Sox will send out Payton Tolle here and Tolle is 6-6 with a 3.32 ERA and 103 strikeouts this season. Yoshinobu Yamamoto will start for the Dodgers here and is 11-6 with a 2.72 ERA and 118 strikeouts this season. 

Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox come into this game looking to add on to their 9-4 win over the Dodgers on Friday to sit at 58-51 this season. After this series, the Red Sox will head home for a series against the Chicago White Sox.

Red Sox Win 3 Straight & 5 Of Last 6

Entering Friday, Wilyer Abreu leads the Red Sox with 101 hits including 22 doubles, 2 triples, 16 home runs and 53 RBIs while Ceddanne Rafaela has 113 hits with 27 doubles, 3 triples, 11 home runs and 52 RBIs and Caleb Durbin’s added 81 hits with 19 doubles, 10 home runs and 44 RBIs as well. Jarren Duran has 76 hits with 10 doubles, 3 triples, 13 home runs and 54 RBIs as well this season. Willson Contreras has added 101 hits with 18 doubles, 23 homers and 67 RBIs of his own on the year.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game fresh off of their loss to Boston last time out to sit at 69-41 on the year. After this series, the Dodgers will head on the road for a series against the Chicago Cubs.

Dodgers Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped

Andy Pages has 112 hits with 22 doubles, 18 home runs and 71 RBIs while Teoscar Hernandez has 66 hits with 12 doubles, 9 home runs and 38 RBIs. Shohei Ohtani has 110 hits with 21 doubles, 23 home runs and 65 RBIs and Freddie Freeman has 121 hits with 27 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 53 RBIs this season. Will Smith has 6 home runs and 23 RBIs as well this season. Max Muncy’s added 84 hits with 16 doubles, 21 home runs and 49 RBIs and Kyle Tucker has 86 hits with 18 doubles, 9 home runs and 51 RBIs this season.

Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends: August 1, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto      Record this season: 11-6      ERA: 2.72
• Home Record: 4-4
• Last 5 against Red Sox: –

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won nine of their last 10 night games against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Red Sox have lost four of their last five night games against the Dodgers following a win.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against the Dodgers following a win.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in three of their last four games against the Red Sox following a loss.
• The Dodgers have won the first inning in four of their last five home games.
• The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games.
• The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Payton Tolle      Record this season: 6-6      ERA: 3.32
• Road Record: 4-3
• Last 5 against Dodgers: –

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won each of their last 10 night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Dodgers have lost each of their last three games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 home games against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line each of their last six road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have won the first inning in four of their last five night games against National League opponents.
• The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Red Sox’s last five games as underdogs against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Dodgers’ last five home games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s last six appearances as a starter.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Red Sox’s last four games.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Yoshinobu Yamamoto has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Yoshinobu Yamamoto has recorded a win in each of his last seven appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 home appearances against the Red Sox.
• Max Muncy has hit at least one home run in each of his last four Saturday appearances against AL East teams that held a winning record.
• Freddie Freeman ranks 5th in the league in Hits (124) this season.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Payton Tolle has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Payton Tolle has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in night games.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 11 night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Jahmai Jones has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances after playing the previous day.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.262).
• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.341).
• The Red Sox rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (408).
• The Red Sox rank 28th in the league for home runs this season (105).

Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

I’m backing the Dodgers here. Tolle hasn’t been as sharp in recent outings and I think the Dodgers bounce back after a sluggish showing on Friday. Yamamoto has been one of the Dodgers’ best this season and while it’s tempting to take the value with Boston in some spots, I think this is a Dodgers spot here. Give me Los Angeles.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Los Angeles -165