Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals Prediction MLB Picks 8/5/24

The Boston Red Sox and the Kansas City Royals meet Monday in MLB action from Kauffman Stadium. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

The Kansas City Royals recent form and player performance

The Boston Red Sox recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Kansas City Royals

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Boston Red Sox

Recent betting trends in games played between the Royals and Red Sox

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Royals vs Red Sox game

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

Over the weekend the Red Sox took on the Texas Rangers. Boston split the first two installments of that series. In the Sunday matchup the Sox powered out a 7-2 win. Nick Pivetta went 4.2 innings with one earned run in the start.

As starter for Monday’s game the Red Sox will send out James Paxton. So far Paxton is 8-3 with a 4.52 ERA in 19 starts. Paxton is 72-41 with a 3.77 ERA in 175 career starts.

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

Over on the Royals’ side, they played the Detroit Tigers over the weekend. Kansas City won two of the first three games, then in the finale the Royals came back from a 2-0 deficit in a 3-2 victory. Starter Michael Wacha had 6.0 innings with both earned runs.

In the starter slot for Monday the Royals are going with Brady Singer. This year Singer is 8-6 with a 2.88 ERA in 22 starts. Singer is 35-37 with a 4.17 career ERA in 117 games (114 starts). The Royals will take on the Cardinals after this series.

Red Sox vs Royals Pick Injury Notes

Red Sox LF Tyler O’Neill was out of Sunday’s lineup due to illness. RP Chris Martin (elbow) threw 35 pitches in the bullpen Saturday.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Red Sox’s last 10 games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Royals’ last seven home games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last three night games between the Red Sox and Royals.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded a Double in four of the Royals’ last five home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Royals’ last seven games at Kauffman Stadium against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Brady Singer has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one Single in nine of the Royals’ last 10 night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Royals’ last seven home games against AL opponents.
• Brady Singer has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit a home run in each of the Royals’ last three games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 14 games as home favorites against AL opponents.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of the Royals’ last 25 games as home favorites.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• James Paxton has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 19 Monday appearances.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Red Sox’s last nine games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight night games.
• Rafael Devers has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox’s last two games against the Royals.
• James Paxton has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Red Sox as road underdogs against AL opponents.
• Rafael Devers has recorded at least one total base in each of the Red Sox’s last 12 games against AL opponents.
• Rafael Devers has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 12 games against AL opponents.
• Tyler O’Neill has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against the Royals at Kauffman Stadium.
• Dominic Smith has recorded at least one Double in each of his last five appearances.

Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals Prediction

I’ll lean toward the Royals. Singer is chugging along nicely these days. Over his last three starts, he’s 3-0 with 7.0 innings in each and three combined earned runs (all in one start). Singer has given up 13 hits and four walks in those 21.0 innings. He should be good to go Monday.

On Sunday Kansas City notched three runs in the top of the ninth inning to help seal the comeback victory, but things were pretty quiet before that. It’d be nice to see the Royals give Singer a little early help this time.