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Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 6/1/25 MLB Picks

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Atlanta Braves (27-30) vs Boston Red Sox (28-32)

June 1, 2025 at 01:35 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves +114 / Boston Red Sox -135 — Over/Under: 8

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In this article, we will formulate a Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 1st, at Truist Park. To formulate this prediction, we will look at: 

-The Red Sox’s recent form and recent player performance

-The Braves’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Boston

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Atlanta

-Recent betting trends in games played between Boston and Atlanta

-A summary that ties it all together produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Red Sox and Braves. 

Braves Bounced Back Big Time

The Braves bounced back in a big way on Saturday and it was the pitching that ended up being the difference. The Braves scored a run in the first and another four runs in the 4th and that was enough with the pitching not giving up any runs. Ronald Acuna Jr had quite the game, hitting a home run and driving in two RBIs. 

The Braves are averaging 4.12 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.86 runs per game. The offense is ranked 19th while their pitching is ranked 9th. They do a positive run differential, but it’s not a big one, sitting at 0.26 runs per game. Getting the start for the Braves will be Bryce Elder who sits with a 2-2 record and an ERA of 4.50. Against the Washington Nationals in his last start he went six innings giving up five hits and one run. 

Red Sox Offense Needs to Bounce Back

The Red Sox offense has been strong this season, but they really struggled on Saturday. Boston allowed Spencer Schwellenbach to lock in early,and that ended up being the difference. The Red Sox finished with five hits but zero runs crossed the plate. Walker Buehler was on the mound for the Red Sox and it could have been even worse as he gave up ten hits in 5.2 innings pitched. 

The Red Sox are averaging 4.67 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.48 runs per game. The offense is ranked 8th while the pitching is ranked 23rd. It was a bit surprising the offense couldn’t get anything going on Saturday and they need to try and get the offense out to a faster start here. Getting the start for the Red Sox will be Garrett Crochet who sits with a 4-4 record and an ERA of 2.04. Against the Milwaukee Brewers in his last start, he threw 6.2 innings, giving up five hits and two runs. 

Why the Red Sox will Beat the Braves


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  • The Braves have lost each of their last four day games following a win.
  • The Red Sox have won four of their last five road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games following a win.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in five of their last six road games following a road loss.
  • The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Total Run Facts

  • Each of the Red Sox’s last five games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Braves’ last six home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last four games against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Red Sox’s last five games as favorites.

Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

Neither of the games have been close, and in this game it’s going to be the Red Sox that are going to have no issue getting the job done. Crochet is on the mound for the Red Sox and he has been nothing short of dominant this season. Even though the record hasn’t been dominant, he sits with an ERA of 2.04, and he’s going to lock down a Braves offense that has been inconsistent at best all season. The Red Sox are 5-1 in Crochet’s last six road starts. Back the Red Sox. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Red Sox ML

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